San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State Prediction 3/15/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (22-9) travel to face off against the Utah State Aggies (26-5) on Friday, March 15th. This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas and televised on CBSS. Utah State is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Diego State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the UNLV. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State Aggies

The San Diego State Aztecs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Diego State heads into its matchup with Utah State as the favorite, as they have been in 21 of their 31 games this season. They have a record of 18-3 in those games, and they are 22-9 overall.

On the road, the Aztecs have gone 6-8, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6. For the season, their average scoring margin on the road is +2.1.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and they are 10-11 vs. the spread when they are favored. Their ATS record vs. the spread when they are the favorite is 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The over/under record for San Diego State this season is 14-14, and today’s line of 137.5 is close to the average OU line in their games (141.1). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State comes into this game as the underdog, as they have been in four of their 31 games this season. They have gone 1-3 in those games, but they have been dominant at home this year, going 14-1 with an average scoring margin of +12.0. Their record in their last 10 home games is 9-1, and they have won their last four games overall.

San Diego State is favored by 3.5 points, and the over/under for the game is set at 137.5. Utah State’s overall record this season is 26-5, and they have gone 13-3 in Mountain West Conference play. Their non-conference record is 13-2, and their average scoring margin on the road is +5.2.

Utah State has an ATS record of 15-11-1 this season, including a home ATS mark of 9-6. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 6-4 over their last 10.

So far this season, games involving Utah State have an over/under record of 15-12. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (145.2). Over their last three games, their games have an over/under record of 3-0 and they have an average scoring total of 164 points in those games.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the San Diego State offense finished with just 58 points vs. UNLV. For the game, they hit 11/33 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 28.1%. Jaedon LeDee is leading the team in scoring at 20.5 points per contest. Reese Waters has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.5 going into the game.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 20.5 8.2 1.4
Reese Waters (G) 10.5 3.8 1.3
Micah Parrish (G) 9.7 4.0 1.9

Utah State Offense Breakdown

The Utah State offense is coming off a game where they scored 87 points against New Mexico. They posted a field goal percentage of 53.6% and connected on 6 threes. One area that the Utah State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 51st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 49%.

Great Osobor (F) 17.6 9.0 2.9
Ian Martinez (G) 13.3 3.7 1.7
Darius Brown II (G) 12.4 4.4 6.4

San Diego State Team Defense

The Aztecs’ defense is presently ranked 37th nationally, allowing an average of 66.3 points per contest. So far, the San Diego State defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (472nd).

Utah State Team Defense

At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 104th in the country, permitting 69.6 points per game. Utah State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the New Mexico offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 85 points.

Aztecs vs Aggies Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, San Diego State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 68 points per game.
  • Across the Aggies last five home games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 75. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-3-1, while going 3-2 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Aggies have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Utah State posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Aztecs struggled vs the spread going just 1-4. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.

Aztecs vs Aggies Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +3.5, we recommend going with the Aggies on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 137.5 and our model has the Aztecs and Aggies finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.