San Francisco Dons vs Gonzaga Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Francisco Dons vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Prediction 3/11/2024

The San Francisco Dons (23-9) travel to face off against the Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-6) on Monday, March 11th. This game will be played at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas and televised on ESPN2. Gonzaga is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Francisco is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Santa Clara. Tip-off is set for 11:30 ET.

San Francisco Dons vs Gonzaga Bulldogs

The San Francisco Dons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Francisco enters this game as the underdog, as they have yet to win a game as the underdog this season. They have gone 0-7 in such games, compared to 21-2 as the favorite. The Dons are coming off a loss to Santa Clara, which dropped their record to 23-9 on the season. They have gone 11-5 in West Coast Conference action and 12-4 in non-conference games.

On the road this season, San Francisco has gone 6-6, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home. Over their last 10 road games, the Dons have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 over their last five.

Against the spread, the San Francisco Dons have gone 17-13 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 7-5 and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Dons have an ATS record of 4-3 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

San Francisco’s over/under record this season is 15-14-1, and today’s line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.4). So far, 21 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line, including two of their last three contests. The average scoring total in their last three games is 135 points.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 24-6, Gonzaga has been fantastic this season. They have won eight games in a row, and their average scoring margin at home is +15.8 points per game. This year, the Bulldogs have been favored in 25 games, going 21-4 in those matchups.

In their last game, Gonzaga beat Saint Mary’s by a score of 70-57. Over their last 10 home games, the Bulldogs have gone 8-2, and they are 14-4 at home this season.

As the favorite, Gonzaga has an ATS record of 12-13 this season and their home ATS mark is 8-10. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Gonzaga’s games this season (154.1). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

San Francisco Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 77.9 points per game, the San Francisco had a below average performance. They scored 62 points against Santa Clara and had a field goal percentage of 34.8%. Offensively, the Dons hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 45th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 209th in terms of percentage and 86th in three-pointers made.

Jonathan Mogbo (F) 14.5 10.2 3.5
Marcus Williams (G) 14.0 3.2 3.8
Malik Thomas (G) 11.5 2.5 0.5

Gonzaga Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Gonzaga offense put up 70 points against Saint Mary’s. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.7% and made 5 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Graham Ike who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.9. Anton Watson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.2.

Graham Ike (F) 16.9 7.3 1.0
Anton Watson (F) 14.2 7.1 2.5
Nolan Hickman (G) 14.0 2.3 2.7

San Francisco Team Defense

So far, the Dons’ defense is ranked 36th in the country at 66.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Santa Clara, the Broncos finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 69 points vs. San Francisco.

Gonzaga Team Defense

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 86th in the country, permitting 68.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Gonzaga’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.7% this season.

Dons vs Bulldogs Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • Gonzaga has played well in their previous five home games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 83 points per game while allowing 67. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dons have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
  • Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Bulldogs have a strong record of 3-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Dons vs Bulldogs Prediction

In this Bulldogs vs. Bulldogs matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Bulldogs at -8.5. While we project the Bulldogs to win 76-70, our recommendation is to bet on the Dons for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 149.5, and our model predicts the Dons and Bulldogs to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.