San Francisco Dons vs Saint Mary’s NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Francisco Dons vs Saint Mary’s Prediction 2/20/2024

The San Francisco Dons (21-6) travel to face off against the Saint Mary’s Gaels (21-6) on Tuesday, February 20th. This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 11:00 ET.

San Francisco Dons vs Saint Mary’s Gaels

The San Francisco Dons Are Coming Off A Win

San Francisco has been dominant at home this season, going 14-2 with an average scoring margin of +15.8 points per game. However, the Dons have struggled as underdogs, going 0-5 this season.

On the road, San Francisco has gone 6-4, including a current win streak of three games. So far, the Dons have gone 10-2 in West Coast Conference play.

As the underdog, San Francisco has a solid ATS record of 3-2 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-4, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.

San Francisco’s over/under record for the season sits at 13-13 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 133 is lower than the average OU line in their games (141.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 144 points compared to their season average of 142.4 points per game.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels Are Coming Off A Win

On the season, Saint Mary’s has been dominant at home, going 11-6 with an average scoring margin of +14.0 points per game. The Gaels have won six straight at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, Saint Mary’s has won 13 straight games, and they are 21-6 on the season. In West Coast Conference play, the Gaels are a perfect 12-0.

When looking at Saint Mary’s ATS record this season, they are currently 14-12. At home, they have gone 8-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels have gone 6-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 133 is slightly higher than the average over/under line in Saint Mary’s games this year (132.8). So far, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 138 points.

San Francisco Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the San Francisco offense tallied 82 points in a matchup against Loyola Marymount. Their field goal percentage for the game was 54.1%, and they made 13 threes. The top scorer for the Dons was Ndewedo Newbury with 16 points, while Marcus Williams also chipped in with 14 points.

Jonathan Mogbo (F) 15.2 10.5 3.4
Marcus Williams (G) 13.7 3.4 3.6
Malik Thomas (G) 11.3 2.5 0.6

Saint Mary’s Offense Breakdown

Saint Mary’s’ offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Pepperdine, finishing the game with a total of 103 points. Their season average is now 74.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Aidan Mahaney, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14, while Augustas Marciulionis also carries a PPG average of 12.4 into the game.

Aidan Mahaney (G) 14.0 2.5 2.6
Augustas Marciulionis (G) 12.4 3.1 4.7
Mitchell Saxen (C) 10.9 7.4 1.5

San Francisco Team Defense

The Dons’ defense is presently ranked 29th nationally, allowing an average of 65.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, San Francisco’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.2% this season.

Saint Mary’s Team Defense

In the current season, the Saint Mary’s defense has excelled, sitting 2nd in the nation by allowing 57.7 points per game. Saint Mary’s’ three-point defense is currently 12th in the country at 4.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.3% of their shots vs. Saint Mary’s.

Dons vs Gaels Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 79 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • The Gaels are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Dons have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-5.
  • The Gaels have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Dons vs Gaels Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Gaels vs. Gaels matchup, we’re leaning towards the Gaels at -8. Although our projections show the Gaels winning 76-70, we suggest placing your bet on the Dons for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 133 and our model has the Dons and Gaels finishing with a combined 146 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.