The SMU Mustangs (22-8) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (16-14) on Saturday, March 8th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on ESPNU. SMU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Virginia. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

SMU Mustangs vs Florida State Seminoles

The Mustangs Are Coming Off A Win

SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games

SMU improved to 22-8 on the season with a 77-75 win over Syracuse on Tuesday. Despite being -13.5 favorites, the Mustangs didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points (152) narrowly missed the over/under line of 153.5.

SMU trailed 44-36 at halftime but turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring Syracuse 41-31 to secure the win.

The Seminoles Are Coming Off A Win

Florida State Seminoles Recent Game/Games

Florida State dropped to 16-14 on the season after a 60-57 loss to Virginia on Tuesday. The Seminoles were +4.5 point underdogs going into the game but managed to cover the spread.

FSU led 28-27 at halftime but were outscored 33-29 in the second half. The total points for the game were 117, falling short of the 136.5-point O/U line.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, shooting 53.6% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 57.1%. They were particularly strong inside, hitting 57.8% of their two-point attempts, while connecting on 36.4% from beyond the arc. Their free-throw shooting, however, was a struggle, as they made just 48.1% of their attempts.

Lucas Taylor was a standout from deep, hitting 3 of 4 threes and shooting 71.4% overall, finishing with 13 points. Kario Oquendo led the team with 16 points, knocking down 3 of 6 from three-point range. Jaquan Carlos dished out 8 assists, adding 12 points on 4 of 5 shooting, including a perfect 1 for 1 from downtown.

Seminoles Offense Breakdown

Florida State’s offense struggled in their last game, scoring just 57 points on 37.1% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 41.9%, with the team hitting 40% of their two-point attempts and 31.8% from beyond the arc.

Dai Dai Ames and Jamir Watkins each contributed 18 points, with Ames shooting 54.5% overall and 75% from three-point range. Watkins added 8 rebounds and 5 assists, while Andrew Rohde chipped in 17 points, hitting 4 of 8 from deep.

Mustangs Team Defense

SMU’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 75 points on 53% shooting from the field. The Mustangs allowed their opponent to hit 57% of their two-point attempts, with 26 makes on 45 shots.

From beyond the arc, SMU’s defense held their opponent to just 4 threes on 11 attempts, a 36% shooting clip. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 27 times, where they made 13, shooting 48%. SMU also gave up 10 offensive rebounds.

Seminoles Team Defense

SMU’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 75 points on 53% shooting from the field. The Mustangs allowed 57% shooting on two-point attempts, with the opposing team hitting 26 of 45 shots.

From beyond the arc, SMU’s opponents shot 36%, making 4 of 11 three-point attempts. The Mustangs also sent the other team to the line 27 times, where they converted 13 free throws, shooting 48%. SMU gave up 10 offensive rebounds.

Mustangs vs Seminoles Trends

• Across their ten previous road games, SMU has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 80 points per game.
• In their last ten games at home, the Seminoles have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 70 points per game in this stretch.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Seminoles have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Mustangs have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Mustangs vs Seminoles Prediction

The Seminoles come in as the underdog at +3.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 156.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.