SMU Mustangs vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction 1/7/2024

SMU Mustangs vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction 1/7/2024

The SMU Mustangs (10-4) travel to face off against the Memphis Tigers (12-2) on Sunday, January 7th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:00 ET.

SMU Mustangs vs Memphis Tigers

The SMU Mustangs Are Coming Off A Win

SMU comes into today’s matchup as the underdog, with a point spread of +5.5. So far this season, the Mustangs are 10-4 and have won four straight games.

In their last game, SMU faced off against Charlotte and came away with a 66-54 victory. On the road this season, the Mustangs have gone 3-2 and have an average scoring margin of +8.0 points per game.

As the underdog this season, SMU has gone 2-2 against the spread. Overall, the Mustangs have an ATS mark of 8-5. On the road, SMU is 4-1 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-3-1. In their last three games as the underdog, the Mustangs have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for SMU games is 3-10 and today’s OU line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line of 142.2 in their games. This year, 11 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

The Memphis Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Tigers are favored by 5.5 points over the SMU Mustangs. So far this season, Memphis has an overall record of 12-2 and have won their last seven games.

At home, the Tigers are a perfect 7-0 and have an average scoring margin of +11.0 points per game. In their last game, Memphis defeated Tulsa by a score of 78-75.

As the favorite, Memphis has gone just 4-6 vs. the spread this season and they are 2-5 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are just 4-6 vs. the spread and their ATS mark vs. the spread is 3-7 over their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record in Memphis games is 9-5. Today’s line of 147 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this season (147.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points, and over their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 152 points. Their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

SMU Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, SMU offense put up 66 points against Charlotte. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.5% and made 2 threes. Zhuric Phelps led the scoring for the Mustangs, contributing 13 points. Additionally, Samuell Williamson chipped in with 12 points.

Zhuric Phelps (G) 14.7 4.8 2.6
Chuck Harris (G) 13.2 3.1 2.7
Samuell Williamson (F) 8.7 6.6 1.8

Memphis Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Tigers’ offense tallied 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 79.2 points per game. David Jones is leading the team in scoring at 20.9 points per contest. Jahvon Quinerly has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.9 going into the game.

David Jones (F) 20.9 6.4 1.4
Jahvon Quinerly (G) 12.9 3.1 4.5
Jaykwon Walton (G) 8.6 4.1 1.6

SMU Team Defense

Currently, the Mustangs’ defense holds the 13th rank in the nation, allowing 61.6 points per game. Against Charlotte, the Mustangs’ defense gave up 54 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Charlotte only made 10 free-throws.

Memphis Team Defense

In terms of defense, Memphis is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.7 points per game. Against Tulsa in their most recent game, the Memphis defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Tulsa to hit 42% of their shots.

Mustangs vs Tigers Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, SMU has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 78 points per game.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Tigers offense has averaged 76 points per game while allowing an average of 77. Memphis posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mustangs have gone 5-4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-9.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Tigers have an overall record of 5-0 while going 1-4 against the spread.

Mustangs vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 75-67. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Tigers at -5.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 147 and our model has the Mustangs and Tigers finishing with a combined 142 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.