Stanford Cardinal vs SMU Mustangs NCAAB Betting Prediction

SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction 3/1/2025

The SMU Mustangs (21-7) travel to face off against the Stanford Cardinal (18-10) on Saturday, March 1st. This game will be played at Maples Pavilion in Stanford and televised on ACCN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:00 ET.

SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal

The Mustangs Are Coming Off A Win

SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games

The Mustangs improved to 21-7 this season with an 81-77 road win over Cal on Wednesday. SMU entered the game as -3.5 favorites and covered the spread. The total points of 158 exceeded the O/U line of 152.5.

SMU led 42-29 at halftime but allowed 48 points in the 2nd half while scoring 39. Despite the defensive lapse, they held on for the win.

The Cardinal Are Coming Off A Win

Stanford Cardinal Recent Game/Games

Stanford improved to 18-10 on the season with a 78-60 win over Boston College on Wednesday. The Cardinal were -11 point favorites and covered the spread with the win. The total points for the game were 138, just under the O/U line of 142.

Stanford took control early, leading 37-19 at halftime. They scored 41 points in the 2nd half but also allowed 41 points to Boston College, which is something they’ll want to address moving forward.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU put up 81 points in their last game, shooting 55.6% from the field and 53.3% from beyond the arc, hitting 8 of 15 threes. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 63%, and they connected on 56.4% of their two-point attempts.

Chuck Harris led the way, shooting 75% overall and 60% from three, finishing with 21 points. Jeremiah Wilkinson added 20 points, while B.J. Edwards contributed 18 points and 5 assists, also hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip.

Cardinal Offense Breakdown

Stanford’s offense put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 47.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.2%. They connected on 40.9% of their threes, hitting 9 of 22 attempts, and were nearly perfect from the free-throw line, making 13 of 14 shots for a 92.9% success rate.

Maxime Raynaud led the way with 23 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 64.3% overall and 66.7% from three-point range (4/6). Oziyah Sellers added 18 points, while Chisom Okpara contributed 15 points on 70% shooting. Stanford also grabbed 11 offensive rebounds and dished out 12 assists in the win.

Mustangs Team Defense

Despite giving up 77 points, SMU’s defense held their opponent to 39% shooting from the field, including 22% from beyond the arc, where they hit just 5 of 22 attempts. Inside the arc, the opponent shot 47%, making 20 of 42 two-point attempts.

SMU also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 32 times, where they converted 22 free throws for 68%. On the boards, the Mustangs allowed 17 offensive rebounds.

Cardinal Team Defense

Even with SMU holding them to 39% shooting, the Mustangs couldn’t keep their opponent from putting up 77 points. They allowed 20 field goals from two-point range, where the other team shot 47%.

SMU did manage to limit the damage from beyond the arc, with their opponent hitting just 5 of 22 threes, a 22% clip. However, they sent the other team to the line 32 times, where they converted 22 free throws.

Mustangs vs Cardinal Trends

  • The Mustangs are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Stanford has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 61 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Mustangs have an ATS mark of just 2-8 in their last ten games. SMU posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Cardinal have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-4.

Mustangs vs Cardinal Prediction

In this Cardinal vs. Cardinal matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Cardinal at -1.5. While we project the Cardinal to win 74-73, our recommendation is to bet on the Mustangs for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 150.5 and our model has the Mustangs and Cardinal finishing with a combined 147 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.