Fenway Bowl Prediction

SMU vs Boston College Fenway Bowl Prediction 12/28/2023

The SMU Mustangs (11-2) face off against the Boston College Eagles (6-6) on Thursday, December 28th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on ESPN. SMU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Boston College is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Miami. Kickoff is set for 11:00 ET.

SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles

The SMU Mustangs Are Coming Off A Win

The Mustangs’ most recent game came against Tulane and led to them picking up a 26-14 win. In the win vs. Tulane, quarterback Kevin Jennings concluded with a QB rating of 60.54, connecting on 19 of 33 passes for 203 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Going into the game, the over/under line was 47.5 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, SMU picked up a win as 3-point underdogs.

The SMU Mustangs take on the Boston College with a 11-2 record, including 5-2 on the road and 6-0 at home.

Against the spread, SMU has gone 8-5 this season. The Mustangs have been favored 10 times compared to three games as the underdog. So far this season, SMU boasts an over/under record of 6-7. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 58 points, while the average over/under line has been 58.2 points.

The Boston College Eagles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Meanwhile, Boston College is coming of a 45-20 loss to Miami. The Eagles were never able to receover from falling behind early, trailing 28-7 at the half. Thomas Castellanos found the endzone in multiple ways against Miami, throwing for 151 yards and one touchdown in addition to rushing for one touchdown.

Looking at the over/under in this matchup, the line was 49.5 and with their 65 points, the over hit. Against the spread, Boston College went into the game as 10-point underdogs giving them an ATS and straight-up loss.

All in all, the Boston College Eagles take on the SMU with a 6-6 record, including 3-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.

Boston College has gone into three games as the favorite this season and seven games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-6. So far this season, the average over/under line for Boston College’s games has been 49.7 points. The Eagles have an over/under record of 6-4 heading into this week’s game.

SMU Offense Breakdown

SMU’s rushing attack is ranked 10th in college football with 511 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 184.1 rushing yards per game, placing them 17th nationally. On average, they are attempting 32 passes per game leading to 285.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 4th position, averaging 40.6 points per game.

Preston Stone is the top passer for the team this season, with 3204 yards and an average of 15.6 per completion. His completion rate is 59.9%, and he’s thrown 28 touchdowns.

Boston College Offense Breakdown

In the end, Boston College enters the game on offense with an average of 25, ranking them 68th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 104th in the nation, with an average of 189.2 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 21st in rushing yards, with an average of 500 rushing attempts per game this season.

So far this season, Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 2146 yards, averaging 12.1 per completion. His completion percentage is 57.1%, and he’s registered 15 touchdowns.

SMU Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, SMU’s defense is ranked 171st. Opponents, on average, attempt 31.4 passes against the Mustangs. They are allowing 17.4 PPG, which places them 63rd in college football. Their rush defense ranks 28th in the NCAA.

Boston College Team Defense

Boston College’s defense ranks 124th in points allowed, with 29.5 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 197.4 passing yards against them (47th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 194 rushing yards, putting them 154th in college football.

SMU vs Boston College Trends

  • On the road, SMU has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Boston College’s ATS record at home (last three) is 2-1.
  • Boston College’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 5-5.
  • When favored, SMU has gone 7-3 vs. the spread (last 10).

SMU vs Boston College Prediction

In conclusion, with SMU demonstrating a strong rushing game in their latest game and the Boston College defense showing vulnerability against the run when facing Miami, I’m placing my bet on SMU at -10 in this matchup.

Overall, after crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 52 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 51.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.