Super Bowl LVIII Kanas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers NFL football betting Prediction

Super Bowl LVIII 49ers vs Chiefs Prediction 2/11/2024

The San Francisco 49ers (12-5) travel to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) on Sunday, February 11th. This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium in Allegiant Stadium and televised on CBS. Both teams come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 6:30 ET.

49ers vs Chiefs

The 49ers Are Coming Off A Win

The 49ers came out on top in their last contest against the Lions, winning with a final score of 34-31. Even with the straight-up win, the 49ers did not cover vs. the spread against Detroit. On the spread, the 49ers were favored by 7.5.

On offense, Brock Purdy ended with 267 passing yards on a completion rate of 64%. On the ground, the 49ers ran the ball 33 times, amassing 155 yards. The team converted 6 third-downs at a rate of 50%.

When taking on Detroit in the last game, the 49er’s defense struggled to halt the Lion’s offense, allowing 28 first downs. San Francisco gave up 442 yards of offense, and the Lions’ passing offense managed a completion percentage of 61.0%.

Coming into their game against the Chiefs, the 49ers are trying to improve on a 12-5 record. This mark has them at 1st in the NFC-West and 1st in the NFC.

Currently, the 49ers hold a 9-9-1 record against the spread. In every game played so far, they have been the favored team. The 49ers are currently working with an average over/under line of 44.7 points this season. Their games have been averaging 47.3 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 10-8-1.

49ers Injury Report

  • Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
  • Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)
  • Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
  • Elijah Mitchell – Knee (Out)
  • Jauan Jennings – Shin (Out)

The Chiefs Are Coming Off A Win

After their 17-10 win over the Ravens, the Chiefs will look to pick up another win. In addition to winning straight-up, the Chiefs covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs.

For the game, quarterback Patrick Mahomes attempted 39 passes and finished with 30 completions for 241. His passer rating for the game was 100.

Following their recent game, the Chiefs defense will look for another strong performance, allowing only 16 first downs versus the Ravens. Against the rushing attack, Kansas City conceded 81 yards, and in the passing game, they yielded 255 yards.

During this season, the Chiefs have an overall record of 11-6, which has them 1st in the AFC-West. Their performance includes 4-0 as underdogs and 10-6 when they are favored.

The Chiefs’ current scoring margin stands at +5.3, which has them coming in with a 12-7-1 ATS record. Kansas City has an over/under record of 6-14 so far this year. Their average over/under betting line stands at 45.7 points, and their games have averaged a combined 38.8 points per game.

Chiefs Injury Reportsan francisco 49ers betting

  • Jaylen Watson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Ankle (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Richie James – Knee (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)

49ers Offense Breakdown

Coming into the Super Bowl the 49ers offense is 2nd in the league at 28.9 points per contest.

Heading into the Super Bowl, San Francisco ranks 28th in passing attempts and is averaging 8.9 yards per attempt (1st). With 257.2 passing yards per game, they hold the 4th spot in the league.

When it comes to rushing, the 49ers are averaging 4.8 yards per attempt while running the ball an average of 29.3 times per game. At 139.7 rushing yards per contest, they are 3rd in the league.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Kansas City’s offense comes in with an average of 22 points per game, which is currently 15th in the league.

Kansas City is currently ranked 7th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 244.8. In terms of passing yards per attempt, they are 10th in the league.

So far, the Chiefs have run the ball an average of 25.4 times per game and currently hold the 18th spot in rushing yards. On a per-attempt basis, they average 4.2 yards, which is 11th.

49ers Team Defense

The 49ers currently rank 14th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 18.4 points per game and 312.6 yards per contest against them.

Chiefs Team Defensekansas city chiefs betting

In terms of defense, the Chiefs hold the 8th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 2nd in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 16.8 points and gain 294.7 yards per game against them.

49ers vs Chiefs Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, San Francisco has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0 averaging 38 points per game.
  • Through their last ten home games, Kansas City has an ATS record of just 6-3-1. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 21 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Chiefs have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Kansas City posted a straight-up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the 49ers have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-3.

49ers vs. Chiefs Prediction

Keep an eye on San Francisco’s passing attack, which is likely to build on their impressive performance against Detroit. As the favorites with a -2 spread on the road, I’m favoring San Francisco to cover.

Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup is too low and, like the outlook of this game, surpassing 47.5 points. The betting model spit out this game, finishing with a combined 51 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.