TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats NCAAB Betting prediction

TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction 1/16/2024

The TCU Horned Frogs (13-3) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Bearcats (12-4) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati and televised on ESPN+. TCU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Cincinnati is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Baylor. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats

The TCU Horned Frogs Are Coming Off A Win

TCU heads into this game as the underdog, as they have been the underdog in just two of their 16 games this season. The Horned Frogs are 1-1 in those games, and they have gone 12-2 when favored.

On the road this season, TCU has gone 4-1, and they have an average scoring margin of +11.4 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4.

TCU has been a strong team against the spread this season, going 10-6. They have been even better vs. the spread as the underdog, going 2-0 this year and 5-5 over their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Horned Frogs are 4-1 vs. the spread this season and 7-3 over their last 10 road games.

TCU’s over/under record this season sits at 8-8 and their games have averaged 151.8 points, slightly above today’s line of 151.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points.

The Cincinnati Bearcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, Cincinnati has been dominant, going 10-1 with an average scoring margin of +20.4. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bearcats are 9-1. So far, Cincinnati has been favored in 13 of their 16 games, going 11-2 in those contests.

After a 62-59 loss to Baylor, the Bearcats are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak. On the season, Cincinnati is 12-4, including an 11-2 record outside of Big 12 play. In the conference, the Bearcats are 1-2.

As the favorite this season, Cincinnati’s ATS record is just 5-8. Their ATS record at home is 5-6, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 4-6. In their last three home games, the Bearcats are 0-3 vs. the spread.

On the season, Cincinnati’s over/under record stands at 9-7, and today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (147.2). Their last three games have averaged 132 points.

TCU Offense Breakdown

The TCU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Houston. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.1% while connecting on 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Emanuel Miller, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.8, while Jameer Nelson Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 11.1 leading up to the game.

Emanuel Miller (F) 16.8 5.9 2.8
Jameer Nelson Jr. (G) 11.1 2.8 3.4
Micah Peavy (G) 10.6 4.8 3.1

Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 79.4 points per game, the Cincinnati had a below average performance. They scored 59 points against Baylor and had a field goal percentage of 39.3%. In terms of offense, the Bearcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 190th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 175th in percentage and 159th in three-pointers made.

Viktor Lakhin (F) 13.6 7.7 2.2
Daniel Skillings (G) 11.7 6.2 1.4
Day Day Thomas (G) 10.6 2.6 2.9

TCU Team Defense

At present, the Horned Frogs’ defense is nationally ranked 88th, allowing 67.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, TCU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.0% this season.

Cincinnati Team Defense

So far this season, the Cincinnati defense has been performing well, ranking 55th in the country at 65.8 points allowed per contest. Against Baylor in their most recent game, the Cincinnati defense gave up a total of 62 points while allowing Baylor to hit 45% of their shots.

Horned Frogs vs Bearcats Trends

  • TCU has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 85 points per game while allowing 73. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • In their last five games at home, the Bearcats have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 72 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
  • Against the spread, the Bearcats have put together 0-3 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Horned Frogs vs Bearcats Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Bearcats to win, and have the projected score sitting at 77-66. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Bearcats at -3.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 151.5 and our model has the Horned Frogs and Bearcats finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.