TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones NCAAB Betting Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction 2/10/2024

The TCU Horned Frogs (16-6) travel to face off against the Iowa State Cyclones (17-5) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Hilton Coliseum in Ames and televised on ESPN2. Iowa State is coming off a win in their previous game, while TCU is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones

The TCU Horned Frogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

TCU heads into this game as the underdog, as they have gone 2-2 in four games as the underdog this season. The Horned Frogs have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games, including a 3-2 mark in their last five games.

On the season, TCU is 16-6, including an 11-2 record in non-conference games. They are coming off a 77-66 loss to Texas, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games.

TCU has been solid against the spread this season, going 13-9 overall. On the road, the Horned Frogs are 6-2 vs. the spread this year and their ATS mark in their last 10 road games is 7-3. As the underdog, TCU has a 3-1 record vs. the spread this season and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

TCU’s over/under record this season is 12-10 and the average scoring total in their games is 154 points. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 144.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 170 points.

The Iowa State Cyclones Are Coming Off A Win

Entering tonight’s game against TCU, Iowa State has been dominant at home, going 13-1 this season. In fact, the Cyclones have won nine straight games at home and have gone 9-1 in their last ten games at home. For the season, Iowa State’s average scoring margin at home is an impressive +27.3 points per game.

Overall, Iowa State has gone 17-5 this season, including a 6-3 mark in Big 12 play. The Cyclones have been favored in 16 of their 22 games this season, going 14-2 in those games. In their last game, Iowa State defeated Texas, 70-65.

As the favorite this season, Iowa State has gone 10-5-1 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is 10-3-1 and in their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-3-1.

This season, the over/under record for Iowa State games is 13-9. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 141.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138.2). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 142 points.

TCU Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the TCU offense concluded with only 66 points against Texas. Throughout the game, they made 7/12 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 50%. Leading TCU in scoring vs. Texas was Emanuel Miller with his 15 points. Avery Anderson III also added 13 points for the Horned Frogs.

Name PPG REB AST
Emanuel Miller (F) 16.4 5.9 2.9
Micah Peavy (G) 11.5 4.9 2.8
Jameer Nelson Jr. (G) 11.0 2.7 3.0

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 79.4 points per game, Iowa State struggled in their previous game. Against Texas, the Cyclones scored 70 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40.9%. For the season, the Iowa State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.7 made three’s per contest.

Name PPG REB AST
Keshon Gilbert (G) 13.9 4.7 4.0
Tamin Lipsey (G) 13.5 5.2 5.6
Milan Momcilovic (F) 12.9 3.3 1.2

TCU Team Defense

The Horned Frogs’ defense is presently ranked 147th nationally, allowing an average of 71.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, TCU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.3% this season.

Iowa State Team Defense

At this time, the Cyclones’ defense is positioned 10th in the country, permitting 62.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Texas, the Longhorns finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 65 points vs. Iowa State.

Horned Frogs vs Cyclones Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, TCU has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 85 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Iowa State has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 70 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, TCU has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Cyclones have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 6-3-1.

Horned Frogs vs Cyclones Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Cyclones to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Cyclones at -6.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 144.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.