TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah State Aggies NCAAB Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah State Aggies Prediction 3/22/2024

The TCU Horned Frogs (20-11) travel to face off against the Utah State Aggies (26-5) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on TBS. Both TCU and Utah State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:55 ET.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah State Aggies

The TCU Horned Frogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

TCU heads into this game with a 20-11 record, including a 10-10 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, the Horned Frogs are 8-6, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home.

As for their season-long average scoring margin, TCU has outscored opponents by 2.6 points per game on the road. In their last game, the Horned Frogs fell to Houston by a score of 60-45.

TCU has an ATS record of 19-14 this season and they are 14-10 vs the spread when favored. On the road, the Horned Frogs have an ATS mark of 9-5 and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2.

So far this season, the over/under record for TCU games is 18-15 and today’s over/under line of 148.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games this year of 148.4. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

The Utah State Aggies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Utah State enters today’s game with a 26-5 record, including a 15-3 mark at home. The Aggies have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

Over the course of the season, Utah State has been the favorite in 25 of their 31 games. They have gone 24-1 in those contests.

Utah State’s ATS record this season is 15-15-1. At home, they are 9-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have gone 2-8 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, their ATS record is 0-3.

So far this season, the over/under record for Utah State games is 19-12. On average, their games have finished with 149.6 points compared to an average over/under line of 144.6, resulting in an average margin of +5. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (163 points).

TCU Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the TCU offense ended with 45 points against Houston. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 23.3% and made 2 threes. Micah Peavy led the scoring for the Horned Frogs, contributing 13 points. Additionally, Jameer Nelson Jr. chipped in with 9 points.

Emanuel Miller (F) 15.9 5.9 2.7
Jameer Nelson Jr. (G) 11.4 2.6 3.3
Micah Peavy (G) 11.1 4.9 2.7

Utah State Offense Breakdown

The Utah State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 70 points vs. San Diego State. Overall their field goal percentage was 40% while connecting on 5 threes. Offensively, the Aggies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 32nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 274th in terms of percentage and 293rd in three-pointers made.

Great Osobor (F) 18.0 9.2 2.9
Ian Martinez (G) 13.1 3.7 1.7
Darius Brown II (G) 12.4 4.4 6.5

TCU Team Defense

On the defensive side, TCU is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.2 points per game. TCU’s three-point defense is currently 96th in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.6% of their shots vs. TCU.

Utah State Team Defense

In terms of defense, Utah State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.7 points per game. In today’s game vs. TCU, the Utah State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Utah State made 21 free-throws vs. the Aggies.

Horned Frogs vs Aggies Trends

  • Across the Horned Frogs last ten road games, the team averaged 76 points per game while allowing 78. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • In their last five games at home, the Aggies have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 74 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Aggies have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Utah State posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Horned Frogs have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Horned Frogs vs Aggies Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3.5, we have the Aggies as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 148.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.