Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson NCAAB Betting Prediction

Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Prediction 3/2/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (22-6) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (20-8) on Saturday, March 2nd. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Auburn by a score of 92-84, the Volunteers come into this game with a record of 22-6, including a 12-3 mark in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, Tennessee has gone 7-5 this season, and they are currently on a five-game winning streak.

So far this season, the Volunteers have been the underdog in four games, going 1-3 in those contests. For the year, they have been the favorite in 24 games, posting a record of 21-3. Their average scoring margin on the road is +4.1, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog this season, Tennessee has gone just 1-3 vs. the spread. On the road, the Volunteers have an ATS mark of 4-8 and they have gone 2-8 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Tennessee games is 16-12 and the average over/under line in their games is 144.3. Today’s over/under line of 169.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season (147.9) and higher than the average over/under line in their games this season. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama enters this game as the favorite, with a point spread of -2.5. The Crimson Tide have been the favorite in 20 of their 28 games this season, going 18-2 in those contests. On the year, Alabama is 20-8, including an 11-3 mark in Southeastern Conference play.

At home, the Crimson Tide have been dominant, going 12-1. Their average scoring margin at home is an impressive +25.2 points per game. Alabama’s current home win streak is at eight games, and they are 9-1 in their last ten at home.

As the favorite this season, Alabama has gone 15-5 vs. the spread. At home, the Crimson Tide have an ATS mark of 11-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Alabama has an impressive ATS record of 9-1.

Alabama’s over/under record this season is 20-7, and today’s line of 169.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (161). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line, including their last three games which have had an average of 197 points.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee finished with 92 points in their game against Auburn. This total surpasses their season-average of 80.7 points per game. Offensively, the Volunteers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 144th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 155th in terms of percentage and 75th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Dalton Knecht (G) 20.8 4.9 1.9
Jonas Aidoo (F) 12.1 7.6 1.0
Zakai Zeigler (G) 11.1 2.7 5.9

Alabama Offense Breakdown

The Alabama offense is coming off a game in which they scored 103 points vs. Ole Miss. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 15 threes. Offensively, the Crimson Tide hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 47th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 44th in terms of percentage and 2nd in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Mark Sears (G) 20.6 4.3 4.1
Aaron Estrada (G) 13.2 5.3 4.4
Grant Nelson (F) 12.2 5.6 1.7

Tennessee Team Defense

At present, the Volunteers’ defense is nationally ranked 53rd, allowing 67.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Auburn, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 84 points vs. Tennessee.

Alabama Team Defense

Looking at the Alabama defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.2 points per game (308th). In today’s game vs. Tennessee, the Alabama defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Alabama made 24 free-throws vs. the Crimson Tide.

Volunteers vs Crimson Tide Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 2-8. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 78 points per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Alabama has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 94 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • The last five games that Tennessee was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Crimson Tide have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Volunteers vs Crimson Tide Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Crimson Tide to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 169.5 and our model has the Volunteers and Crimson Tide finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.