Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAB Betting prediction

Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi Prediction 1/10/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (11-3) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-3) on Wednesday, January 10th. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on SECN. Tennessee is coming off a win in their previous game, while Mississippi State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the South Carolina. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Ole Miss by a score of 90-64, Tennessee is now 11-3 overall and has won seven straight games. The Volunteers are 1-0 in Southeastern Conference play and 10-3 in non-conference games.

So far, Tennessee has been perfect as the favorite, going 11-0 in games where they are favored. The Volunteers have gone 2-3 on the road this season and are looking to snap a three-game losing streak away from home.

When looking at Tennessee’s overall ATS record this season, they are currently 6-7-1. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread. On the road, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 2-3 this year and their last 10 road ATS record is just 2-8.

So far this season, the over/under record for Tennessee games is 8-6 and their matchups have averaged 140.3 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is right in line with the season-long average scoring total in their games of 143 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 133 points.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Mississippi State enters this game as the underdog, a role they have not been in yet this season. They have been the favorite in all 14 of their games, going 11-3 overall. At home, they are 7-1 and have won their last two games.

Over their last 10 home games, the Bulldogs are 8-2, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five. On the season, they are outscoring their opponents by an average of 14.2 points per game at home compared to 9.3 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Mississippi State has a record of 0-0 vs. the spread. At home, the Bulldogs are 4-4 ATS and have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Overall, their ATS mark is 8-6. In their last three games as the underdog, Mississippi State is 2-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Mississippi State games is 5-8-1. The average scoring total in their games this season is 138.3, which is higher than the average OU line of 136. So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line of 139.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 135 points.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 90 points versus Ole Miss. This output is higher than their season-average of 78.7 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Jonas Aidoo with 24 points. Zakai Zeigler also added 17 points for the Volunteers.

Dalton Knecht (G) 15.1 4.1 1.6
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.4 7.0 1.1
Josiah-Jordan James (G) 11.1 7.1 2.4

Mississippi State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Mississippi State offense ended with 62 points against South Carolina. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.1% and made 3 threes. Josh Hubbard is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Cameron Matthews brings a PPG average of 9.4 into the game.

Josh Hubbard (G) 14.4 2.2 1.5
Cameron Matthews (F) 9.4 6.5 3.0
Jimmy Bell Jr. (F) 9.1 8.6 0.9

Tennessee Team Defense

At this time, the Volunteers’ defense is positioned 35th in the country, permitting 64.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the Tennessee defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Ole Miss knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 64 points.

Mississippi State Team Defense

This season, the Mississippi State defense has been impressive, holding the 21st position in the country while permitting an average of 63.1 points per contest. The Mississippi State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed South Carolina to connect on 8 threes.

Volunteers vs Bulldogs Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 2-8 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 69 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three home games, Mississippi State has averaged 68 points per game while allowing 60. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Volunteers have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Tennessee posted a straight up mark of 10-0 in these matchups.

Volunteers vs Bulldogs Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2.5, we recommend going with the Bulldogs on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 139.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.