Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Prediction 2/20/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (19-6) travel to face off against the Missouri Tigers (8-17) on Tuesday, February 20th. This game will be played at Mizzou Arena in Columbia and televised on SECN. Tennessee is coming off a win in their previous game, while Missouri is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ole Miss. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

As a team, Tennessee has been fantastic on the road this season, holding a +4.0 average scoring margin. They have gone 5-5 in their last ten road games, and they are 6-5 on the road this season. Overall, they are 19-6, including a 9-3 mark in Southeastern Conference play.

In their last game, the Volunteers defeated Vanderbilt by a score of 88-53. This win improved their record to 18-3 when they are favored. On the year, they have been favored in 21 of their 25 games.

As the favorite, Tennessee has gone 11-9-1 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have a record of 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 4-7 this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three road contests.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Tennessee games this year (143.6). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Missouri Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Missouri enters this game as a 13-point underdog, and they have gone 1-10 as the underdog this season. They have lost 12 straight games, and they are 0-12 in Southeastern Conference play.

At home this year, Missouri is 6-10, and they have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is -0.2 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Missouri has gone 4-7 against the spread. At home, their ATS mark is just 2-14. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers are 3-7 vs. the spread. Their ATS record this year is 7-18.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average OU line in Missouri’s games this season (148). So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points, which is less than today’s OU line.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 88 points versus Vanderbilt. This output is higher than their season-average of 80.4 points per game. The top scorer for the Volunteers was Dalton Knecht with 14 points, while Zakai Zeigler also chipped in with 14 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Dalton Knecht (G) 20.1 4.7 2.0
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.7 7.5 1.0
Zakai Zeigler (G) 11.0 2.5 5.6

Missouri Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Tigers’ offense finished with 76 points, which is right in line with their current average of 72.2 points per contest. Sean East was the leading scorer for the Tigers, putting up 25 points. In addition, Tamar Bates contributed 12 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Sean East (G) 16.0 3.4 4.1
Tamar Bates (G) 14.0 2.5 1.2
Noah Carter (F) 11.5 5.0 1.5

Tennessee Team Defense

So far this season, the Tennessee defense has been performing well, ranking 61st in the country at 67.2 points allowed per contest. Against Vanderbilt, the Volunteers’ defense gave up 53 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Vanderbilt only made 8 free-throws.

Missouri Team Defense

At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 240th, allowing 74.5 points per game. Missouri’s three-point defense is currently 177th in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.7% of their shots vs. Missouri.

Volunteers vs Tigers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Tennessee has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 84 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Tigers have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 67 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 0-10. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • As the betting favorite, the Volunteers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.

Volunteers vs Tigers Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +13, the Tigers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 146.5 and our model has the Volunteers and Tigers finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.