Tennessee Volunteers vs Purdue NCAAB Betting Prediction

Tennessee Volunteers vs Purdue Prediction 3/31/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (26-8) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (32-4) on Sunday, March 31st. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:20 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their matchup with Purdue, Tennessee has won three straight games and has a record of 26-8 this season. In their last game, the Volunteers defeated Creighton by a score of 82-75.

On the road this season, Tennessee has gone 9-5 compared to their 18-4 record at home. Over their last 10 road games, the Volunteers have gone 7-3.

As the underdog this season, Tennessee has gone 2-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 6-8 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 4-6. Looking at their last 3 road games, the Volunteers have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Tennessee’s games this season (145.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 135 points.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into their matchup with Tennessee, Purdue has been on a roll, winning three straight games. Overall, they have a record of 32-4, including a 24-1 mark at home. As the favorite, they are 31-4 this season.

Recently, the Boilermakers have been playing even better at home, going 9-1 in their last 10 games. They are also 4-1 in their last five games at home.

As the favored team, Purdue has gone 17-16-2 vs. the spread this season. In their last 3 home games, the Boilermakers are 3-0 ATS, and they have a 13-11-1 ATS mark at home this year.

Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Purdue games this season (147.8). So far, 17 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Tennessee offense put up 82 points against Creighton. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.8% and made 11 threes. The team’s top scorer is Dalton Knecht, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 21.1, while Jonas Aidoo also carries a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.

Dalton Knecht (G) 21.1 4.7 1.8
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.9 7.7 0.9
Zakai Zeigler (G) 11.9 2.7 5.8

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Purdue offense ended with 80 points against Gonzaga. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 57.1% and made 9 threes. For the season, the Purdue offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 8.3 made three’s per contest.

Zach Edey (C) 24.4 11.7 2.1
Braden Smith (G) 12.5 5.8 7.3
Lance Jones (G) 12.2 2.8 2.0

Tennessee Team Defense

In the current season, the Tennessee defense has excelled, sitting 61st in the nation by allowing 67.4 points per game. So far, the Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 9.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10 times per game (426th).

Purdue Team Defense

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 101st in the country at 69.2 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Purdue defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Gonzaga knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 68 points.

Volunteers vs Boilermakers Trends

  • Tennessee has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 73 points per game while allowing 66. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across the Boilermakers last five home games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 69. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 4-1 straight-up.
  • The Volunteers have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 4-6.

Volunteers vs Boilermakers Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Boilermakers to win, and have the projected score sitting at 78-67. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Boilermakers at -3.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 147.5, and our model predicts the Volunteers and Boilermakers to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.