Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAB Betting Prediction

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction 1/27/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (14-4) travel to face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-13) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville and televised on SECN. Tennessee is coming off a win in their previous game, while Vanderbilt is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mississippi State. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

On the season, Tennessee has been a much better team at home compared to on the road. They are a perfect 11-0 at home, while they are just 3-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +21.4, compared to just +1.0 on the road. In their last game, the Volunteers defeated Alabama by a score of 91-71. They have now won three straight games.

So far, Tennessee has been the favorite in 15 of their 18 games. They have gone 14-1 in those games. For the season, they have a record of 14-4, including a 4-1 record in Southeastern Conference play. Their non-conference record is 10-3. Over their last 10 road games, the Volunteers have gone 3-7.

As the favorite, Tennessee’s ATS record this season is 8-6-1. On the road, the Volunteers are 2-5 ATS this year and have gone just 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Tennessee is 11-7 and the average point total in their games is 146 points. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.6). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

The Vanderbilt Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Coming into tonight, Vanderbilt is 5-13 overall and has lost five straight games. In Southeastern Conference play, the Commodores are still looking for their first win, as they are 0-5. At home, Vanderbilt is just 5-8 on the year, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 3-7.

As for the point spread, the Commodores are 0-10 as the underdog this season. Their average scoring margin at home is -2.6, and they have lost their last two games at home.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread this season and is currently 7-10-1 ATS overall. At home, the Commodores have an ATS mark of 5-8 this year and are 2-3 vs. the spread in their last 5 games at Memorial Gymnasium.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 for the Vanderbilt Commodores’ game against Tennessee is very close to the average over/under line in their games this season (142.4). So far, their over/under record is 5-13. Their last three games have averaged 130 points compared to their season average of 139.2. In their last 10 games, the over/under record is 2-8.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 91 points against Alabama. This output exceeded their season average of 79.7 points per game. Dalton Knecht led the team in scoring, putting up 25 points. Additionally, Jonas Aidoo contributed 19 points for the Volunteers.

Dalton Knecht (G) 18.8 4.4 1.6
Jonas Aidoo (F) 12.1 7.3 1.2
Zakai Zeigler (G) 10.2 2.3 5.1

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Vanderbilt offense tallied 55 points in a matchup against Mississippi State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 37.7%, and they made 5 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ezra Manjon who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.2. Tyrin Lawrence also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.9.

Ezra Manjon (G) 15.2 3.1 3.3
Tyrin Lawrence (G) 13.9 4.9 1.9
Jason Rivera-Torres (G) 8.7 3.6 0.6

Tennessee Team Defense

In the current season, the Tennessee defense has excelled, sitting 48th in the nation by allowing 66.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Vanderbilt. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.2%.

Vanderbilt Team Defense

The Commodores’ defense is presently ranked 159th nationally, allowing an average of 71.9 points per contest. Against Mississippi State in their most recent game, the Vanderbilt defense gave up a total of 68 points while allowing Mississippi State to hit 43% of their shots.

Volunteers vs Commodores Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 2-8. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 73 points per game.
  • Across the Commodores last three home games, the team averaged 60 points per game while allowing 71. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-1-1, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Commodores have an ATS mark of just 0-2-1 in their last three games. Vanderbilt posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Volunteers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Volunteers vs Commodores Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +15.5, the Commodores is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 141.5, and our model predicts the Volunteers and Commodores to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.