Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights NCAAB Betting Prediction

Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights Prediction 11/4/2024

The Texas A&M Aggies (0-0) travel to face off against the UCF Knights (0-0) on Monday, November 4th. This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando and televised on ESPN+. This will be the first game of the season for both the Texas A&M Aggies and the UCF Knights

Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights

The Aggies Are Looking To Start Their Season With A Win

Texas A&M Aggies Records

Texas A&M finished last season with a 20-14 overall record, going 11-10 in SEC play. At home, they posted a 12-6 record, with an average scoring margin of +7.5 points per game. On the road, the Aggies went 8-8, with a .0 average scoring margin.

Against the spread, Texas A&M went 15-19, including an 8-8 mark on the road. When favored, they were 15-8 straight-up and 10-13 ATS. As underdogs, they had a 5-6 record in both categories. Their games averaged 145.6 points, and they had a 21-13 over/under record, with an average line of 144.3 points.

The Knights Are Looking To Start Their Season With A Win

UCF Knights Records

UCF finished last season with a 17-15 overall record, including an 8-12 mark in Big 12 play. At home, the Knights went 13-7, winning by an average of 10.6 points per game. On the road, they were 4-8 with an average scoring margin of -6.9 points.

Against the spread, UCF also went 17-15, with an 11-9 record at home and a 6-6 mark on the road. As the favorite, they were 12-4 straight-up and 9-7 ATS. Their average over/under line was 138.8 points, and they had a 17-14-1 O/U record, with their games averaging 139 points per contest.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

Texas A&M averaged 74.8 points per game last season, but their offensive efficiency was hindered by a 39% field goal percentage, ranking 385th nationally. Their effective field goal percentage was 45%, placing them 389th. The Aggies attempted 24.2 three-pointers per game, making 6.9, but shot just 28% from beyond the arc, ranking 398th. They were 18th in free throws made per game, averaging 17.2.

Wade Taylor IV returns after averaging 18.9 points, 4 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game last season. Zhuric Phelps, who averaged 14.7 points, 2.7 assists, and 4 rebounds per game, also returns for the Aggies.

Knights Offense Breakdown

UCF averaged 71.5 points per game last season, ranking 171st in possessions per game with 67.4. They struggled with shooting efficiency, finishing 343rd in field goal percentage (41%) and 351st in effective field goal percentage (47%). The Knights were 347th in two-point percentage (47%) and made 6.8 three-pointers per game, shooting 32% from beyond the arc, ranking 303rd in three-point percentage.

Jaylin Sellers and Darius Johnson are UCF’s top returning scorers. Sellers averaged 15.6 points per game last season, while Johnson added 15.2 points and 3.7 assists per game. Both players appeared in 32 games last year.

Aggies Team Defense

Last season, Texas A&M allowed 70.8 points per game, ranking 132nd in the nation. Opponents shot 33.9% from three-point range against them, placing the Aggies 331st in three-point defense. They also gave up 18.1 free throws per game, ranking 154th nationally.

Texas A&M averaged 7.1 steals per game, ranking 114th in the country, while blocking 2.9 shots per game, which was 273rd nationally.

Knights Team Defense

Last season, Texas A&M allowed 70.8 points per game, ranking 132nd in the nation. Opponents shot 33.9% from three-point range against them, placing the Aggies 331st in the country in that category. They also gave up 18.1 made free throws per game, ranking 154th nationally.

Texas A&M averaged 7.1 steals per game, ranking 114th in the nation, but they struggled with blocked shots, averaging just 2.9 per game, which was 273rd nationally.

Aggies vs Knights Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Texas A&M has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 81 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Knights offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 74. UCF posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Knights have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • The Aggies have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Aggies vs Knights Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Knights is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 144, and our model projects the Aggies and Knights to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.