Texas Longhorns vs Cincinnati Bearcats NCAAB Betting prediction

Texas Longhorns vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction 1/9/2024

The Texas Longhorns (11-3) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Bearcats (12-2) on Tuesday, January 9th. This game will be played at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati and televised on ESPN+. Cincinnati is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas Tech. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs Cincinnati Bearcats

The Texas Longhorns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

So far this season, Texas has been much better at home than on the road. They are 10-2 at home compared to just 1-1 on the road. In fact, they have been favored in 12 of their 14 games, going 11-1 in those games.

Coming into this game, the Longhorns are 11-3 overall and 0-1 in Big 12 play. Their most recent game was a 78-67 loss to Texas Tech. Over their last 10 road games, Texas has gone 4-6.

So far this season, Texas has an ATS record of 4-10. On the road, their ATS mark is 0-2, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Longhorns have gone 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas games sits at 6-8. The average scoring total in their games is 143.6 points, which is slightly lower than the average OU line of 147. Currently, the over/under line for today’s game against Cincinnati is 146. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

The Cincinnati Bearcats Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last four games, Cincinnati returns home to face Texas as 4.5-point favorites. The Bearcats are 12-2 overall, including a perfect 10-0 mark at home. In their last game, Cincinnati defeated BYU, 71-60.

So far this season, the Bearcats have been favored in 12 of their 14 games, going 11-1 in those contests. In their last 10 games at home, Cincinnati is a perfect 10-0.

When looking at Cincinnati’s ATS record this season, they are currently 6-8. At home, their ATS mark is 5-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bearcats have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, Cincinnati is 0-3 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Cincinnati games is 8-6. The average scoring total in their games is 146.7 points, which is just slightly higher than today’s line of 146. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and for the season, their games have an average over/under line of 147.2. Today will be the ninth time this year that their over/under line is higher than 146, and so far, their OU record in those games is 5-3.

Texas Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 78.3 points per game, the Texas had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against Texas Tech and had a field goal percentage of 41.3%. Tyrese Hunter led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Max Abmas contributed 18 points for the Longhorns.

Name PPG REB AST
Max Abmas (G) 17.2 2.9 4.4
Tyrese Hunter (G) 12.3 2.6 4.1
Dillon Mitchell (F) 11.4 9.4 1.9

Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

Against BYU, the Cincinnati had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 81.3 points per game. They scored 71 points and posted a field goal percentage of 42.6% in the game. The team’s top scorer is Viktor Lakhin, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.9, while Daniel Skillings also maintains a PPG average of 11.1 leading up to the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Viktor Lakhin (F) 13.9 8.4 2.3
Daniel Skillings (G) 11.1 6.5 1.5
Day Day Thomas (G) 10.9 2.6 2.9

Texas Team Defense

Texas’ defense has been playing well, ranking 51st nationally, with 65.3 points allowed per game. The Texas defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Texas Tech to connect on 6 threes.

Cincinnati Team Defense

In the current season, the Cincinnati defense has excelled, sitting 53rd in the nation by allowing 65.4 points per game. So far, the Cincinnati defense is giving up an average of 6.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (438th).

Longhorns vs Bearcats Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Texas has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Cincinnati has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 74 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Longhorns have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • Against the spread, the Bearcats have put together of 1-4 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.

Longhorns vs Bearcats Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Bearcats, with a final score of 77-66, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bearcats at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 146 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.