The Texas Longhorns (16-13) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-9) on Tuesday, March 4th. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on SECN. Mississippi State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.
Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Longhorns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Texas Longhorns Recent Game/Games
Texas dropped to 16-13 on the season after an 83-67 home loss to Georgia on Saturday, March 1st. The Longhorns were -5.5 favorites going into the game but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 150, surpassing the O/U line of 145.5.
Texas fell behind early, trailing 46-29 at halftime. Although they outscored Georgia 38-37 in the second half, it wasn’t enough to overcome the deficit.
The Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
Mississippi State improved to 20-9 on the season with an 81-69 win over LSU on Saturday. The Bulldogs, who were -11.5 favorites at home, covered the spread with the victory.
After trailing 37-35 at halftime, Mississippi State turned things around in the second half, outscoring LSU 46-32. The game’s total points of 150 narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 149.5.
Longhorns Offense Breakdown
Silas Demary Jr. led the Longhorns with 26 points, shooting 57.1% from the field and hitting 3 of 6 from beyond the arc. Arthur Kaluma added 15 points and 7 rebounds, connecting on 3 of 8 threes.
Texas shot 44.2% overall, with an effective field goal percentage of 51.9%. They hit 34.8% from three, making 8 of 23 attempts, and went 13 for 20 from the free-throw line.
Bulldogs Offense Breakdown
Mississippi State’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 81 points with a field goal percentage of 56.9%. Their effective field goal percentage was 62.7%, thanks in large part to their 73.3% shooting from two-point range, hitting 22 of 30 attempts. From beyond the arc, they connected on 7 of 21 shots, shooting 33.3% from three-point range.
Cam Carter was a standout from deep, hitting 5 of 10 threes and finishing with 23 points on 9 of 16 shooting overall. Josh Hubbard led the team with 30 points, shooting 9 of 18 from the field, though he struggled from three, hitting just 2 of 9 attempts. Riley Kugel was efficient, making 5 of 6 shots overall and 2 of 3 from three-point range, finishing with 12 points.
Longhorns Team Defense
Despite Texas’s defensive efforts, they gave up 83 points, with their opponents shooting 44% from the field. The Longhorns allowed 15 two-point baskets on 29 attempts, a 51% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, Texas’s defense saw their opponents hit 8 of 23 threes, a 34% success rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 20 times, where they converted 13 free throws, shooting 65%. Texas limited offensive rebounds, giving up just 6.
Bulldogs Team Defense
Despite Texas allowing 83 points, their defense held the opposing team to 44% shooting overall, with 23 made field goals on 52 attempts. Inside the arc, the Longhorns gave up 15 two-pointers on 29 attempts, resulting in a 51% shooting performance from two-point range.
From beyond the three-point line, Texas allowed 8 threes on 23 attempts, with the opposing team shooting 34%. The Longhorns also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 20 times, where they converted 13 free throws, shooting 65%. Texas gave up 6 offensive rebounds in the game.
Longhorns vs Bulldogs Trends
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Texas has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 71 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
- Across their five previous home games, Mississippi State has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 76 points per game.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Texas has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 1-9 straight up.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
Longhorns vs Bulldogs Prediction
For a point-spread bet in this Bulldogs vs. Bulldogs matchup, we’re leaning towards the Bulldogs at -7.5. Although our projections show the Bulldogs winning 74-72, we suggest placing your bet on the Longhorns for the point-spread.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 150.5, and our model projects the Longhorns and Bulldogs to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 4, 2025 Mississippi State Bulldogs, Texas Longhorns