Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction 3/23/2024

The Texas Longhorns (21-12) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (24-8) on Saturday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Texas Longhorns Are Coming Off A Win

As the Texas Longhorns get set to take on the Tennessee Volunteers as 6.5-point underdogs, they will look to improve upon their 5-6 record on the road this season. Over their last 10 road games, the Longhorns have gone 4-6, and they are coming off a 56-44 win over Colorado State.

So far this season, Texas has gone 21-12 overall, including a 9-10 mark in Big 12 play. As the underdog, the Longhorns have gone 4-7, and they are averaging -4.0 points per game on the road compared to +12.2 points per game at home.

As the underdog this season, Texas has an ATS record of 5-6, which includes a mark of 1-2 in their last three games and 2-3 in their last five games. On the road, the Longhorns have gone 4-7 vs. the spread this year and are 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas games is 20-13. On average, their games have finished with 145 points, which is very close to the average over/under line of 144.4. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 141 points.

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 24-8, Tennessee has been the favorite in 29 of their 32 games. They have gone 23-6 in those games. At home, the Volunteers are 16-4 this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

Coming off an 83-49 win over Saint Peter’s, Tennessee has gone 3-2 in their last five home games. So far this season, they have an average scoring margin of +16.2 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee has gone 15-13-1 against the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 17-16-1. At home, the Volunteers have an ATS record of 11-8-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Tennessee is 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Tennessee games sits at 17-17, and today’s line of 147.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (145.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points.

Texas Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 76.5 points per game, Texas struggled in their previous game. Against Colorado State, the Longhorns scored 56 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40%. In terms of offense, the Longhorns have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 71st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 148th in percentage and 210th in three-pointers made.

Max Abmas (G) 17.1 3.0 4.3
Dylan Disu (F) 15.8 5.0 1.7
Tyrese Hunter (G) 10.8 2.7 4.1

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Saint Peter’s, finishing the game with a total of 83 points. Their season average is now 79.5 points per game. In terms of offense, the Volunteers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 240th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 190th in percentage and 60th in three-pointers made.

Dalton Knecht (G) 21.1 4.7 1.8
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.9 7.7 0.9
Zakai Zeigler (G) 11.9 2.7 5.8

Texas Team Defense

Currently, the Longhorns’ defense holds the 96th rank in the nation, allowing 69.1 points per game. Against Colorado State in their most recent game, the Texas defense gave up a total of 44 points while allowing Colorado State to hit 40% of their shots.

Tennessee Team Defense

So far, the Volunteers’ defense is ranked 61st in the country at 67.5 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Tennessee defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Saint Peter’s knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 49 points.

Longhorns vs Volunteers Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Longhorns have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 77 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five home games, Tennessee has averaged 76 points per game while allowing 69. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • The last ten games that Texas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • The Volunteers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Longhorns vs Volunteers Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Volunteers vs. Volunteers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Volunteers at -6.5. Although our projections show the Volunteers winning 73-72, we suggest placing your bet on the Longhorns for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 147.5 and our model has the Longhorns and Volunteers finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.