Texas State Bobcats vs. James Madison Dukes Prediction 12/30/2023

Texas State Bobcats vs. James Madison Dukes Prediction 12/30/2023

The Texas State Bobcats (6-6) travel to face off against the James Madison Dukes (12-0) on Saturday, December 30th. This game will be played at Atlantic Union Bank Center in Harrisonburg and televised on ESPN+. James Madison is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Houston. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Texas State Bobcats vs James Madison Dukes

The Texas State Bobcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Texas State is entering their 13th game of the season with a 6-6 record. When playing away from home, the Bobcats have a 3-4 record, while they have a 1-2 record at home. As of now, Texas State has a 5-5 record against the spread heading into today’s game. In their last ten games, Texas State is 2-1 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Texas State have had an average of 132.2 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 135.4 points. Their over/under record is 4-6-0. Over the course of the last five games, the Bobcats’ games have averaged 144 points per game, along with an over/under record of 0-3.

The James Madison Dukes Are Coming Off A Win

James Madison remains undefeated with a perfect 12-0 record, following their 89-75 victory over Morgan State. In their last five home games, including one from last year, James Madison has gone 5-0. Entering today’s game, James Madison holds an 8-3 against the spread (ATS) record. The Dukes have been strong on the road at 6-1 ATS, while going 2-2 vs. the spread at home.

James Madison’s games have, on average, featured 163 points per game leading to an over/under record of 7-3-1. Their average over/under line is currently 153.5 points so far. Looking at the Dukes’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with their games averaging 152 points per game.

Texas State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Texas State offense ended with 37 points against Houston. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 28.9% and made 2 threes. Leading Texas State in scoring vs. Houston was Kaden Gumbs with his 7 points. Jordan Mason also added 6 points for the Bobcats.

Brandon Love (F) 11.6 5.8 0.5
Dylan Dawson (G) 10.0 2.2 1.6
Kaden Gumbs (G) 9.8 4.6 4.2

James Madison Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Dukes’ offense concluded with 89 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 92.6 points per contest. The James Madison offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 26 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

Terrence Edwards (G) 17.2 5.2 3.0
T.J Bickerstaff (F) 15.8 8.2 1.4
Michael Green III (G) 11.5 1.3 4.8

Texas State Team Defense

So far, the Bobcats’ defense is ranked 105th in the country at 68.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 23.4% this season.

James Madison Team Defense

At present, the Dukes’ defense is nationally ranked 164th, allowing 72.6 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.2 threes per game vs. Texas State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 25.1%.

Bobcats vs Dukes Trends

  • Texas State has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 59 points per game while allowing 73. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, James Madison has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 83 per game. The team went 9-1 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bobcats have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • The last ten games that James Madison was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 9-1 straight up.

Bobcats vs Dukes Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Dukes to secure the win, with an expected final score of 79-65. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -13.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 145.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.