Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears NCAAB Betting Prediction

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears Prediction 2/6/2024

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-5) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (16-5) on Tuesday, February 6th. This game will be played at Foster Pavilion in Waco and televised on ESPN. Baylor is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas Tech is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cincinnati. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a record of 16-5, Texas Tech has gone 5-3 in Big 12 play compared to their 11-2 non-conference record. The Red Raiders have lost two straight games, and they are 5-4 on the road this season.

So far, Texas Tech has been the underdog in seven games, going 3-4 in those matchups. They have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games, including a record of 3-2 in their last five.

Against the spread, Texas Tech has a record of 10-11 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-5, and their last 10 road ATS record is 4-6. As the underdog, the Red Raiders are 3-4 vs. the spread this season and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 14-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 145.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 146 is higher than the average OU line in their games (138.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 159 points.

The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Coming off a two-point victory over Iowa State, Baylor is now 16-5 overall and 5-3 in Big 12 play. The Bears have won two straight games and are 12-1 at home this season, compared to 3-4 on the road.

On the year, Baylor has been favored in 16 of its 21 games, going 14-2 in those contests. The Bears’ average scoring margin at home this season is +19.9 points per game.

When looking at Baylor’s ATS record this season, they have gone 12-8. At home, their ATS mark is 9-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Baylor games sits at 11-9. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 148.5 and their matchups have averaged 154.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 146 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (163) and their last five games (154). Over their last 10 games, the over/under record for the Bears is 5-5.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Red Raiders’ offense finished with 72 points, which is right in line with their current average of 77 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Red Raiders have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 123rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 55th in terms of percentage and 69th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Pop Isaacs (G) 17.7 3.0 3.4
Joe Toussaint (G) 12.4 2.9 4.0
Warren Washington (F) 10.3 7.6 1.8

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Baylor offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against Iowa State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45.7%, and they made 12 threes. For the season, the Baylor offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 49%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 9 made three’s per contest.

Name PPG REB AST
Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 14.5 4.7 1.7
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.4 3.9 6.4
Langston Love (G) 11.7 2.8 1.3

Texas Tech Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Texas Tech defense is giving up an average of 68.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Cincinnati, the Bearcats finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 75 points vs. Texas Tech.

Baylor Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Baylor defense is giving up an average of 70.8 points per contest. So far, the Baylor defense is giving up an average of 7.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.1 times per game (495th).

Red Raiders vs Bears Trends

  • The Red Raiders are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Baylor has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 71 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Red Raiders have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • Although the Bears have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Red Raiders vs Bears Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Bears to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Bears at -6.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 146 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.