Texas Tech Red Raiders vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs TCU Horned Prediction 1/30/2024

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-3) travel to face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (15-5) on Tuesday, January 30th. This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs TCU Horned Frogs

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 16-3, Texas Tech will head to TCU as a 4.5-point underdog. The Red Raiders have gone 5-3 on the road this season, compared to a perfect 11-0 mark at home.

Over their last 10 road games, Texas Tech has gone just 5-5, and they are coming off an 85-84 win over Oklahoma. So far this season, the Red Raiders have been the underdog in six of their 19 games, going 3-3.

As the underdog this season, Texas Tech has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-4 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Raiders are 6-4.

So far this season, the over/under record in Texas Tech games is 12-7. The average scoring total in their games this year is 144.3 points, which is 6.2 points lower than the average over/under line in their games of 138.1. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 153 points.

The TCU Horned Frogs Are Coming Off A Win

TCU has been great at home this season, going 9-3, and they have a scoring margin of +16.8 points per game in those contests. They are 13-3 when favored this season, and they have been favored in 16 of their 20 games.

The Horned Frogs have won two straight games, and they are 15-5 overall. They are 4-3 in Big 12 action, and they have gone 11-2 in non-conference games.

As the favorite this season, TCU has gone 9-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Horned Frogs have a record of 6-4 vs. the spread. At home this season, TCU is 6-6 ATS and over their last 10 home games, they have a mark of 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, the Horned Frogs are 2-1 ATS.

TCU’s over/under record for the season is 11-9 and today’s over/under line of 149.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games this year (149.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 164 points scored in those games.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

Texas Tech’s offense had a good outing, putting up 85 points against Oklahoma. They achieved a 52.6% field goal percentage and went 16/19 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Red Raiders was Chance McMillian with 27 points, while Pop Isaacs also chipped in with 18 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Pop Isaacs (G) 17.1 3.0 3.2
Joe Toussaint (G) 13.3 3.0 3.8
Warren Washington (F) 10.3 7.8 1.9

TCU Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the TCU offense tallied 105 points in a matchup against Baylor. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.6%, and they made 8 threes. The top scorer for the Horned Frogs was Jameer Nelson Jr. with 30 points, while Emanuel Miller also added 21 to the scoreboard.

Name PPG REB AST
Emanuel Miller (F) 16.8 6.0 3.0
Jameer Nelson Jr. (G) 11.5 2.7 3.0
Micah Peavy (G) 11.3 5.0 2.8

Texas Tech Team Defense

This season, the Texas Tech defense has been impressive, holding the 73rd position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. In today’s game vs. TCU, the Texas Tech defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Texas Tech made 15 free-throws vs. the Red Raiders.

TCU Team Defense

In terms of defense, TCU is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.5 points per game. In today’s game vs. Texas Tech, the TCU defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, TCU made 27 free-throws vs. the Horned Frogs.

Red Raiders vs Horned Frogs Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Texas Tech has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 77 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, TCU has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 81 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Red Raiders have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
  • TCU has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Red Raiders vs Horned Frogs Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Horned Frogs to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Horned Frogs at -4.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 149.5 and our model has the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.