Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCF Knights NCAAB Betting Prediction

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCF Knights Prediction 2/24/2024

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-7) travel to face off against the UCF Knights (13-12) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando and televised on ESPN+. Texas Tech is coming off a win in their previous game, while UCF is looking to get back on track from a loss to the West Virginia. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCF Knights

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

After a narrow 82-81 win over TCU, the Red Raiders come into this game with a record of 19-7, including an 8-5 mark in Big 12 play. Texas Tech has been much better at home this season, going 14-1 compared to 5-6 on the road.

As the favorite, the Red Raiders have gone 16-1 this season, and they are currently favored by one point against UCF. Over their last three games on the road, Texas Tech has gone 0-3, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 away from home.

As the favorite this season, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 8-9 and an overall ATS mark of 11-14-1. On the road, the Red Raiders are 4-6-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, Texas Tech is 5-5 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 17-9, and today’s line of 141 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

The UCF Knights Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

UCF is coming off a 77-67 loss to West Virginia, which was their fourth straight defeat. The Knights are 13-12 overall, including a 4-9 mark in Big 12 action.

At home, UCF is 11-5 this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games in front of their fans. For the year, they have been favored in 14 games, going 10-4.

As the underdog this season, UCF has gone 6-4-1 vs. the spread. At home, the Knights have an ATS mark of 9-6-1 this year and are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games as the host. In their last three games at home, UCF is 1-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for UCF games is 13-11-1. Today’s over/under line of 141 is very close to the average OU line in their games this season (138.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and the over/under record in their last three games is 2-0-1.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

Texas Tech finished with 82 points in their game against TCU. This total surpasses their season-average of 76.5 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Pop Isaacs, who holds an average of 16.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Joe Toussaint is averaging 12.5 points per game this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Pop Isaacs (G) 16.3 3.2 3.7
Joe Toussaint (G) 12.5 2.8 4.1
Darrion Williams (G) 10.5 7.2 2.4

UCF Offense Breakdown

The Knights’ offense finished with 67 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 71.9 points per contest. Darius Johnson led the scoring for the Knights, contributing 29 points. Additionally, Marchelus Avery chipped in with 14 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Jaylin Sellers (G) 16.5 4.0 1.2
Darius Johnson (G) 14.2 2.9 3.9
Marchelus Avery (F) 8.7 4.3 0.7

Texas Tech Team Defense

So far, the Red Raiders’ defense is ranked 90th in the country at 68.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.5 threes per game vs. UCF. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.8%.

UCF Team Defense

At present, the Knights’ defense is nationally ranked 54th, allowing 67.0 points per game. So far, the UCF defense is giving up an average of 7.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (566th).

Red Raiders vs Knights Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Red Raiders have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 75 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their last three home contests, UCF has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 71 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Knights have an ATS mark of just 6-3-1 in their last ten games. UCF posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Red Raiders have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Red Raiders vs Knights Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1, we have the Knights as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 141 and our model has the Red Raiders and Knights finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.