texas tech vs texas ncaab betting prediction

Texas Tech vs. Texas Prediction 1/6/2024

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-2) travel to face off against the Texas Longhorns (11-2) on Saturday, January 6th. This game will be played at Moody Center in Austin and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game, the Texas Tech Red Raiders are the underdogs, getting 4 points against the Texas Longhorns. So far this season, Texas Tech has an overall record of 11-2 and have won their last six games.

On the road, the Red Raiders have gone 3-2 this season and have an average scoring margin of +3.2 points per game on the road. In their last game, Texas Tech took on North Alabama and won by a score of 85-57. Over their last ten road games, the Red Raiders are 5-5.

Against the spread, Texas Tech has gone 6-7 this season. On the road, their ATS record sits at 2-3. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Raiders are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is right in line with the average scoring total in Texas Tech’s games this season (142.5). So far, their over/under record is 7-6. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, and over their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 149 points. On the year, 7 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 142.5.

The Texas Longhorns Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game, the Texas Longhorns are favored by 4 points over the Texas Tech Red Raiders. So far this season, Texas has gone 10-1 at home and have an average scoring margin of +19.4 points per game at home. They have won their last five games and are 11-0 when favored.

In their last game, the Longhorns took on UT Arlington and won by a score of 79-62. Over their last ten games at home, Texas has gone 9-1. So far this season, they are 11-2 overall.

As the favorite this season, Texas is just 4-7 against the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Longhorns are only 3-7 vs. the spread. At home this year, Texas has an ATS record of 4-7.

On the season, the over/under record for Texas games is 5-8. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 143.5 points compared to an average over/under line of 147.5. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 125 points.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Texas Tech offense ended with 85 points against North Alabama. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 54.5% and made 8 threes. Pop Isaacs is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16. Meanwhile, Joe Toussaint also brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Pop Isaacs (G) 16.0 2.9 3.2
Joe Toussaint (G) 14.2 3.2 3.8
Darrion Williams (G) 9.5 7.0 2.3

Texas Offense Breakdown

The Texas offense is coming off a game where they scored 79 points against UT Arlington. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.9% and connected on 9 threes. In terms of offense, the Longhorns have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 54th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 116th in percentage and 193rd in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Max Abmas (G) 17.2 2.8 4.4
Tyrese Hunter (G) 11.7 2.7 4.2
Dillon Mitchell (F) 11.0 9.3 1.8

Texas Tech Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Texas Tech defense is giving up an average of 64.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas Tech’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.0% this season.

Texas Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Texas defense is giving up an average of 64.3 points per contest. Texas’ three-point defense is currently 80th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.2% of their shots vs. Texas.

Red Raiders vs Longhorns Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Red Raiders offense has averaged 77 points per game while allowing an average of 73. Texas Tech posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Texas has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • The last five games that Texas Tech was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Texas has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 10-0 straight up.

Red Raiders vs Longhorns Prediction

The Longhorns is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Longhorns at -4.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 142.5, and our model predicts the Red Raiders and Longhorns to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.