Toledo Rockets vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Toledo Rockets vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 12/29/2024

The Toledo Rockets (5-5) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (8-4) on Sunday, December 29th. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on BTN. Both Toledo and Purdue will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET.

Toledo Rockets vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Toledo Rockets Recent Game/Games

Toledo’s season record fell to 5-5 after a 78-49 road loss to Houston on Wednesday, December 18th. The Rockets entered the game as +30 underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 127, falling short of the 141.5 O/U line.

Toledo trailed 39-22 at halftime and allowed 39 points in the 2nd half while scoring 27. Though they kept the game closer than expected, the Rockets struggled to contain Houston’s offense.

The Boilermakers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Purdue’s season record dropped to 8-4 after an 87-69 home loss to Auburn on Saturday. Entering the game as +10.5 point underdogs, the Boilermakers not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.

After trailing 41-26 at halftime, Purdue’s defense continued to struggle, allowing 46 points in the second half while scoring 43. The total points for the game reached 156, surpassing the O/U line of 148.5.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Toledo’s offense struggled in their last game, managing just 49 points on 29.6% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 33.3%, with two-point shooting at 30.6% and three-point shooting at 27.8% (5/18).

Terrance Arceneaux led the Rockets with 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 58.3% overall. Joseph Tugler was efficient, hitting 5 of 6 shots for 13 points in just 16 minutes.

Boilermakers Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 39% from the field and 34.8% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.8%, and they hit 65.2% of their free throws, going 15-for-23 from the line.

Johni Broome led the way with 23 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the field. Tahaad Pettiford added 18 points and 5 assists, while C.J. Cox hit 3 threes, shooting 60% from beyond the arc.

Rockets Team Defense

Toledo’s defense gave up 78 points, with their opponents shooting 44% from the field. The Rockets struggled to contain two-point attempts, allowing 26 makes on 43 tries, a 60% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Toledo held their opponents to just 4 threes on 24 attempts, a 16% shooting performance. They also sent them to the line 19 times, where they made 14 free throws, shooting 73%. Toledo allowed 16 offensive rebounds.

Boilermakers Team Defense

Despite Toledo’s defensive struggles inside, they managed to limit the damage from beyond the arc, holding their opponent to just 4 made threes on 24 attempts, a 16% shooting performance. Overall, the Rockets gave up 78 points on 44% shooting, with the opposing team hitting 26 of their 43 two-point attempts.

Toledo sent their opponent to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 14 shots for a 73% success rate. The Rockets also allowed 16 offensive rebounds in the game.

Rockets vs Boilermakers Trends

  • In their last five road games, Toledo has averaged 76 points per game while allowing 80. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • Through their last three home games, Purdue has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 66 points per game.
  • The last three games that Toledo was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Rockets vs Boilermakers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Boilermakers vs. Rockets matchup, our bet is to grab the Rockets at +20.5. Even though our projections have the Boilermakers winning 78-69, we see the Rockets as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 155.5, and our model predicts the Rockets and Boilermakers to score a combined 147 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.