troy vs ole miss ncaab prediction

Troy Trojans vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction 12/19/2023

The Troy Trojans (5-5) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (10-0) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford and televised on SEC. Ole Miss is coming off a win in their previous game, while Troy is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dayton. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Troy Trojans vs Ole Miss Rebels

The Troy Trojans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Troy comes into their game against Ole Miss with a 5-5 record on the season. In away games, the Trojans are winless at 0-4, while they have a 2-1 record at home. Troy has a winning record against the spread at 5-2. In their last five games, they have gone 4-0 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 10 games, Troy has an over/under record of 5-2-0, with their games averaging 155.4 points per game on average. Over the course of the last five games, the Trojans’ games have averaged 152 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-2.

The Ole Miss Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

Ole Miss is undefeated on the season, with an overall record of 10-0. In their previous ten home games, which includes last year, Ole Miss has a 9-1 record. As of now, Ole Miss has a 3-5 record against the spread heading into today’s game. However, if we focus on their previous five games, they are 4-1 vs. the spread.

Through 10 games, Ole Miss has an over/under record of 4-4-0 with their games averaging a combined 139.4 points per game so far. The Rebels’ last five games have culminated with an average of 145 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

Troy Offense Breakdown

The Troy offense is coming off a game in which they scored 70 points vs. Dayton. Overall their field goal percentage was 40% while connecting on 11 threes. The top scorer for the Trojans was Christyon Eugene with 16 points, while Aamer Muhammad also added 12 to the scoreboard.

Christyon Eugene (G) 16.0 5.1 4.2
Aamer Muhammad (G) 11.0 3.2 2.9
Tayton Conerway (G) 10.8 2.9 3.0

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

The Rebels’ offense wrapped up their last game with 70 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 74.8 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Allen Flanigan, who holds an average of 17.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Matthew Murrell is averaging 15.9 points per game this season.

Allen Flanigan (G) 17.4 6.9 2.6
Matthew Murrell (G) 15.9 4.6 3.1
Jaylen Murray (G) 14.6 2.7 4.3

Troy Team Defense

So far, the Trojans’ defense is ranked 103rd in the country at 68.6 points per contest. Troy’s three-point defense is currently 13th in the country at 4.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 29.0% of their shots vs. Troy.

Ole Miss Team Defense

In the current season, the Ole Miss defense has excelled, sitting 92nd in the nation by allowing 67.8 points per game. Ole Miss will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UCF to just 36% shooting in their most recent game.

Trojans vs Rebels Trends

  • In their last three road games, Troy has averaged 75 points per game while allowing 80. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 3-0.
  • In their last three games at home, the Rebels have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 67 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Troy has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Rebels have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Trojans vs Rebels Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Rebels vs. Trojans matchup, our bet is to grab the Trojans at +12.5. Even though our projections have the Rebels winning 76-69, we see the Trojans as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 146.5, and our model predicts the Trojans and Rebels to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.