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UAB Blazers vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction 3/22/2024

The UAB Blazers (20-11) travel to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (22-9) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at Spokane Arena in Spokane and televised on TNT. UAB is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Diego State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the New Mexico. Tip-off is set for 1:45 ET.

UAB Blazers vs San Diego State Aztecs

The UAB Blazers Are Coming Off A Win

UAB comes into this game with a 20-11 record, including a 16-6 mark in American Athletic Conference play. They have won six straight games, and their road record is 8-6 compared to 15-5 at home. On the road, the Blazers are outscoring opponents by an average of 0.9 points per game.

So far this season, UAB has been the underdog in 13 of their 31 games, going 8-5 in those contests. They are 2-1 in their last three road games and 4-1 in their last five.

As the underdog this season, UAB has gone 11-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blazers have an impressive ATS mark of 8-2. On the road, UAB has a solid ATS record of 9-5 this year and they have gone 7-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

UAB’s over/under record this season is 19-15 and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.5). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 153 points.

The San Diego State Aztecs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Diego State has been a much better team at home this season, as they have gone 14-2 compared to 9-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.7, while it is +3.8 on the road. The Aztecs have gone 21-5 when favored this season, and they are favored by 6.5 points tonight. Their overall record is 22-9, including a 14-8 mark in Mountain West play.

San Diego State is coming off a 68-61 loss to New Mexico, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games at home. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2.

San Diego State’s ATS record this season is 14-19, including a home mark of 8-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs are 5-5 vs. the spread.

San Diego State’s over/under record this season is 18-15 and today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (140.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points, which is higher than today’s over/under line.

UAB Offense Breakdown

UAB finished with 85 points in their game against Temple. This total surpasses their season-average of 77.8 points per game. Alejandro Vasquez was the leading scorer for the Blazers, putting up 29 points. In addition, Eric Gaines contributed 15 points.

Yaxel Lendenborg (F) 13.9 10.6 2.1
Eric Gaines (G) 12.3 3.9 5.4
Alejandro Vasquez (G) 11.2 3.5 1.1

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the San Diego State offense tallied 61 points in a matchup against New Mexico. Their field goal percentage for the game was 35.7%, and they made 4 threes. On the offensive front, the Aztecs have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 246th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 343rd in terms of percentage and 227th in three-pointers made.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 21.1 8.4 1.4
Reese Waters (G) 10.1 3.7 1.2
Micah Parrish (G) 9.6 4.1 1.8

UAB Team Defense

At present, the Blazers’ defense is nationally ranked 256th, allowing 74.8 points per game. UAB’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Temple offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 69 points.

San Diego State Team Defense

Currently, the Aztecs’ defense holds the 44th rank in the nation, allowing 66.7 points per game. So far, the San Diego State defense is giving up an average of 8.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.4 times per game (442nd).

Blazers vs Aztecs Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, UAB has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 85 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Aztecs offense has averaged 72 points per game while allowing an average of 67. San Diego State posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Blazers have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.
  • The last five games that San Diego State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.

Blazers vs Aztecs Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Aztecs vs. Blazers matchup, our bet is to grab the Blazers at +6.5. Even though our projections have the Aztecs winning 74-71, we see the Blazers as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 137.5 and our model has the Blazers and Aztecs finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.