UCF Knights vs Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAB Betting Prediction

UCF Knights vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction 2/10/2024

The UCF Knights (13-8) travel to face off against the Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-6) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock and televised on ESPN+. UCF is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas Tech is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Baylor. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

UCF Knights vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

The UCF Knights Are Coming Off A Win

UCF comes into this game as an underdog, as they have a record of 3-6 when not favored. On the road this season, the Knights have gone 2-4, and their average scoring margin is -9.7 points per game.

Most recently, UCF faced Oklahoma, and they won by a score of 74-63. Over their last 10 road games, the Knights have gone 3-7.

As the underdog this season, UCF has gone 4-4-1 vs. the spread. On the road, the Knights are just 2-4 ATS this year and 4-6 in their last 10 road games. Over their last three road contests, UCF has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for UCF games is 11-10. On average, their games have finished with 136.9 points, which is just a bit lower than today’s over/under line of 138. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with the average scoring total being 135 points.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After starting 9-1 at home, Texas Tech has lost two of its last three games at home. They will look to get back on track tonight as they are 13-1 when favored this season.

Overall, the Red Raiders are 16-6 and 5-4 in Big 12 play. They have gone 11-2 outside of conference play, compared to 5-5 on the road.

Overall, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 10-11-1 this season. Their ATS mark at home is 6-6 and their mark as the favorite is 7-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Raiders have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas Tech’s games this year (138.9). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

UCF Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the UCF offense ended with 74 points against Oklahoma. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.7% and made 6 threes. Jaylin Sellers was the leading scorer for the Knights, putting up 20 points. In addition, Antwann Jones contributed 15 points.

Jaylin Sellers (G) 17.2 4.2 1.2
Darius Johnson (G) 13.1 3.0 4.0
Marchelus Avery (F) 9.0 4.5 0.7

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

The Red Raiders’ offense wrapped up their last game with 73 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76.8 points per contest. Joe Toussaint led the scoring for the Red Raiders, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Darrion Williams chipped in with 17 points.

Pop Isaacs (G) 17.4 3.0 3.5
Joe Toussaint (G) 12.6 2.9 4.1
Chance McMillian (G) 10.5 3.5 0.8

UCF Team Defense

UCF’s defense has been playing well, ranking 32nd nationally, with 65.0 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.8 threes per game vs. Texas Tech. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.9%.

Texas Tech Team Defense

At present, the Red Raiders’ defense is nationally ranked 96th, allowing 68.9 points per game. Texas Tech’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Baylor offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 79 points.

Knights vs Red Raiders Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, UCF has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 63 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • Across the Red Raiders last ten home games, the team averaged 75 points per game while allowing 76. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-5-1, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Knights have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Red Raiders have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Texas Tech posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Knights vs Red Raiders Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Red Raiders vs. Red Raiders game, our recommendation is to take the Red Raiders at -8. Despite our model showing the Red Raiders winning 73-70, we like Knights as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 138 and our model has the Knights and Red Raiders finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.