UNLV Runnin Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos NCAAB Betting Prediction

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction 2/10/2024

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (12-9) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (19-4) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

UNLV is 12-9 this season and has won three straight games. They are 5-4 in Mountain West play and 7-5 in non-conference games. On the road, the Runnin’ Rebels are 3-2 this season and have an average scoring margin of +3.2 points per game.

So far this season, UNLV has been an underdog in eight of its 21 games and has a record of 3-5 in those matchups. In their last game, the Runnin’ Rebels beat Wyoming by a score of 62-48. Over their last 10 road games, UNLV has a record of 5-5.

As the underdog this season, UNLV has an ATS record of 6-2 and an overall record vs. the spread of 12-6. On the road, the Rebels have an ATS mark of 4-1 and are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 143.4 in UNLV’s games this season. So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 19-4, New Mexico has been dominant this season, especially at home where they are 10-1. Over their last 10 games at home, the Lobos have gone 9-1. New Mexico has been favored in 19 of their 23 games, going 17-2 when they are the favorite.

Coming off a 91-73 win over Wyoming, the Lobos have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home. Over their last three games at home, New Mexico has gone 2-1. This season, they have been winning by an average of 18.9 points per game at home compared to +8.5 on the road.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico is 15-4 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lobos are 7-3 ATS. At home, New Mexico has an ATS mark of 9-2 this year and they are 7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

On the season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 11-10 and today’s line of 153.5 is similar to the average over/under line of 153.1 in their games. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 157 points.

UNLV Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the UNLV offense finished with just 62 points vs. Wyoming. For the game, they hit 8/20 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.9%. The team’s top scorer is Luis Rodriguez, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12, while Dedan Thomas Jr. also carries a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.

Luis Rodriguez (G) 12.0 6.9 1.6
Dedan Thomas Jr. (G) 11.9 2.9 6.1
Kalib Boone (F) 12.2 4.7 1.4

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game in which they scored 91 points vs. Wyoming. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.1% while connecting on 13 threes. Leading New Mexico in scoring vs. Wyoming was Donovan Dent with his 19 points. Jaelen House also added 17 points for the Lobos.

Donovan Dent (G) 15.7 2.7 5.9
JT Toppin (F) 12.7 8.7 0.6
Jaelen House (G) 15.5 3.4 3.9

UNLV Team Defense

So far, the Runnin’ Rebels’ defense is ranked 115th in the country at 69.7 points per contest. So far, the UNLV defense is giving up an average of 8.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.8 times per game (397th).

New Mexico Team Defense

The Lobos’ defense is presently ranked 116th nationally, allowing an average of 69.7 points per contest. New Mexico will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Wyoming to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.

Runnin’ Rebels vs Lobos Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, UNLV has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, New Mexico has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 81 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Runnin’ Rebels have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. UNLV posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
  • The last ten games that New Mexico was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.

Runnin’ Rebels vs Lobos Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Lobos vs. Runnin’ Rebels matchup, our bet is to grab the Runnin’ Rebels at +11.5. Even though our projections have the Lobos winning 75-70, we see the Runnin’ Rebels as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 153.5, and our model projects the Runnin’ Rebels and Lobos to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.