USC Trojans vs Arizona Wildcats NCAAB Betting Prediction

USC Trojans vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction 3/14/2024

The USC Trojans (14-17) travel to face off against the Arizona Wildcats (24-7) on Thursday, March 14th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and televised on PACN. USC is coming off a win in their previous game, while Arizona is looking to get back on track from a loss to the USC. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

USC Trojans vs Arizona Wildcats

The USC Trojans Are Coming Off A Win

USC comes into this game as the underdog, as they have a record of 3-11 when they are not favored. On the road, they have gone 4-10 this season, and their average scoring margin is -5.4 points per game.

Over their last three games, the Trojans have a record of 2-1, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games. Their most recent game was a 78-65 win over Arizona.

As the underdog this season, USC has an ATS record of 6-8 and an overall ATS mark of 15-16. However, the Trojans have been solid vs. the spread on the road, going 7-7 this year and 6-4 in their last 10 road games. In their last three games as the underdog, USC is a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for USC games is 19-11-1. Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (147.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 149 points.

The Arizona Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Arizona enters tonight’s game against USC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have been the favorite in 29 of their 31 games this season, going 22-7 in those contests.

So far, Arizona has been dominant at home, going 16-1 with an average scoring margin of +26.2 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Wildcats are 9-1.

Arizona’s ATS record this season is 20-11, including a mark of 12-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Arizona is 15-15-1 with an average scoring total of 162.6 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 158.2 points. Currently, the over/under line for today’s game against USC is 157.5 points. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 160 points.

USC Offense Breakdown

The USC offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against Arizona. They posted a field goal percentage of 49.1% and connected on 6 threes. The top scorer for the Trojans was DJ Rodman with 19 points, while Kobe Johnson also chipped in with 19 points.

Boogie Ellis (G) 16.6 3.5 3.0
Isaiah Collier (G) 16.6 2.8 4.2
Kobe Johnson (G) 10.7 4.3 3.3

Arizona Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Arizona offense concluded with only 65 points against USC. Throughout the game, they made 6/21 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 38.7%. The team’s scoring leader is Caleb Love, who holds an average of 18.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Oumar Ballo is averaging 13.1 points per game this season.

Caleb Love (G) 18.7 4.9 3.4
Oumar Ballo (C) 13.1 10.0 0.9
Pelle Larsson (G) 13.0 4.1 3.7

USC Team Defense

At present, the Trojans’ defense is nationally ranked 246th, allowing 74.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Arizona, the Wildcats finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 65 points vs. USC.

Arizona Team Defense

So far, the Wildcats’ defense is ranked 215th in the country at 73.2 points per contest. Arizona’s three-point defense is currently 212nd in the country at 8.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.6% of their shots vs. Arizona.

Trojans vs Wildcats Trends

  • USC has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 72 points per game while allowing 75. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Arizona has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 88 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • USC has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • Arizona has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Trojans vs Wildcats Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Wildcats vs. Wildcats game, our recommendation is to take the Wildcats at -8.5. Despite our model showing the Wildcats winning 75-70, we like Trojans as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 157.5, and our model predicts the Trojans and Wildcats to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.