USC Trojans vs Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAB Betting Prediction

USC Trojans vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction 1/11/2025

The USC Trojans (9-6) travel to face off against the Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3) on Saturday, January 11th. This game will be played at State Farm Center in Champaign and televised on BTN. Illinois is coming off a win in their previous game, while USC is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Indiana. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

USC Trojans vs Illinois Fighting Illini

The Trojans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

USC dropped to 9-6 on the season after an 82-69 road loss to Indiana on Wednesday. The Trojans entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 151, which went over the pre-game line of 148.5.

USC was tied 38-38 at halftime but struggled in the second half, scoring just 31 points while allowing 44.

The Fighting Illini Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Illinois improved to 12-3 on the season with a dominant 91-52 win over Penn State on Wednesday. The Illini, who were -7.5 favorites, easily covered the spread in this one.

Illinois took control early, leading 45-21 at halftime, and continued their strong play in the second half, outscoring Penn State 46-31. The game’s total points of 143 fell well short of the 163.5 O/U line.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

USC’s offense put up 69 points in their last game, shooting 41% from the field and 23.1% from beyond the arc, hitting just 6 of 26 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.9%, and they connected on 72.2% of their free throws, going 13 for 18 from the line.

Oumar Ballo led the way with 23 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 81.8% from the floor. Myles Rice added 19 points and 9 rebounds, while Wesley Yates III contributed 18 points, hitting 2 of 6 from three-point range.

Fighting Illini Offense Breakdown

Illinois put up 91 points in their latest game, shooting 44.2% from the field and hitting 32.3% from beyond the arc (10/31). Their effective field goal percentage was 50.6%, and they were strong from the free-throw line, connecting on 81.2% of their attempts (13/16).

Ben Humrichous led the way with 21 points and 9 rebounds, hitting 5 threes at a 55.6% clip. Morez Johnson Jr. was efficient, scoring 20 points on 9/11 shooting and grabbing 11 rebounds in just 20 minutes of action.

Trojans Team Defense

USC’s defense gave up 82 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 43% from the field. They allowed 23 two-point baskets on 45 attempts, a 51% success rate.

From beyond the arc, the opposition shot 28%, hitting 6 of their 21 three-point attempts. USC also sent them to the line 23 times, where they converted 18 free throws, a 78% rate. The Trojans gave up 11 offensive rebounds.

Fighting Illini Team Defense

USC’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 82 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 43% from the field. Inside the arc, the Trojans allowed 23 field goals on 45 attempts, a 51% shooting rate.

From three-point range, USC’s defense held the opponent to 28% shooting, with 6 made threes on 21 attempts. At the free-throw line, the opponent shot 78%, hitting 18 of 23. The Trojans also gave up 11 offensive rebounds.

Trojans vs Fighting Illini Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, USC has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 75 points per game.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Fighting Illini offense has averaged 77 points per game while allowing an average of 75. Illinois posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, USC has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 5-0.

Trojans vs Fighting Illini Prediction

In this Fighting Illini vs. Fighting Illini matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Fighting Illini at -14. While we project the Fighting Illini to win 78-69, our recommendation is to bet on the Trojans for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 154.5 and given that our model is projecting 147 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.