Utah State Aggies vs Fresno State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Utah State Aggies vs Fresno State Prediction 2/27/2024

The Utah State Aggies (22-5) travel to face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-16) on Tuesday, February 27th. This game will be played at Save Mart Center in Fresno and televised on MWN. Utah State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Fresno State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the San Diego State. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs Fresno State Bulldogs

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State comes into this game as the heavy favorite, as they have been favored in 20 of their 27 games this season. They have gone 19-1 in those games, and they are 22-5 overall.

On the road, the Aggies have gone 8-3 this season, and their average scoring margin is +3.9 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3.

Utah State has been a solid team vs the spread this season, going 14-9-1. However, their ATS record on the road is just 5-5-1 and they are 0-2-1 vs the spread in their last 3 road games. As the favorite, the Aggies have gone 13-6-1 vs the spread this year and they are 2-0-1 in their last 3 games as the favorite.

Utah State’s over/under record this season is 13-11 and today’s line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (144.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

The Fresno State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their last game to San Diego State by a score of 73-41, Fresno State enters this game with a record of 11-16. The Bulldogs have lost three games in a row and have gone just 4-10 in Mountain West play.

So far this season, Fresno State has gone 7-9 at home, and they are currently on a three-game losing streak at home. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bulldogs have gone just 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Fresno State has gone just 5-11 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 5-5. At home this season, Fresno State has an ATS record of 7-9 and they are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Fresno State games is 15-11. On average, their games have finished with 140.7 points compared to an average over/under line of 138 points. Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 133 points.

Utah State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Utah State offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against San Diego State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49%, and they made 7 threes. Darius Brown II was the leading scorer for the Aggies, putting up 25 points. In addition, Great Osobor contributed 17 points.

Great Osobor (F) 17.8 9.1 3.0
Ian Martinez (G) 13.2 3.7 1.8
Darius Brown II (G) 11.9 4.1 6.3

Fresno State Offense Breakdown

Against San Diego State, the Fresno State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 68 points per game. They scored 41 points and posted a field goal percentage of 24.6% in the game. Isaiah Hill is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Xavier Dusell brings a PPG average of 11.3 into the game.

Isaiah Hill (G) 12.2 3.3 6.3
Xavier Dusell (G) 11.3 2.2 0.6
Isaiah Pope (G) 8.6 2.9 1.6

Utah State Team Defense

At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 106th in the country, permitting 69.3 points per game. Against San Diego State in their most recent game, the Utah State defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing San Diego State to hit 49% of their shots.

Fresno State Team Defense

At present, the Bulldogs’ defense is nationally ranked 196th, allowing 72.7 points per game. Fresno State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding San Diego State to just 24% shooting in their most recent game.

Aggies vs Bulldogs Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Aggies have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 76 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Fresno State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 67 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • The Aggies have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-1-1 against the spread.

Aggies vs Bulldogs Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +9.5, we have the Bulldogs as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 143.5, and our model projects the Aggies and Bulldogs to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.