The Utah State Aggies (16-1) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (14-3) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.
Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos
The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win
Utah State comes into this game as the underdog, as they have been the underdog in just one game this season. The Aggies have been dominant, winning 16 of their 17 games, including 14 in a row. In Mountain West play, they are 4-0, compared to 12-1 in non-conference action.
On the road, Utah State has been nearly as good as they have been at home, going 6-1 compared to 8-0 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +9.0, and they have won six straight road games.
Utah State has an ATS record of 9-6 this season, including a mark of 4-3 on the road. Over their last three road games, the Aggies have gone 2-1 vs. the spread and they are 5-5 in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, Utah State is 0-3 ATS this year and just 2-7-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog.
This season, the over/under record for Utah State is 9-6. So far, their games have averaged 149.1 points compared to an average over/under line of 144. Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this year. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their games have averaged 154 points over their last three, 151 points over their last five, and 150 points over their last 10.
The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win
So far this season, New Mexico has been a completely different team when playing at home compared to on the road. At home, the Lobos are a perfect 9-0 with an average scoring margin of +20.2 points per game. Their average scoring margin on the road is +4.0 points per game.
Coming into tonight’s game, New Mexico has won nine straight games at home. Overall, the Lobos have gone 14-3 this season, including a 2-2 record in Mountain West Conference play.
As the favorite this season, New Mexico has gone 11-3 vs. the spread. At home, the Lobos have an ATS mark of 8-1 this year and are 4-0 in their last 5 games at The Pit. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, New Mexico is 8-2 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 7-9. The average scoring total in their games is 151.6 points, which is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 153.5 points. On the year, the average margin between the actual scoring total and the over/under line is -1.9 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.
Utah State Offense Breakdown
Utah State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. UNLV, finishing the game with a total of 87 points. Their season average is now 81.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Great Osobor, who is averaging 18.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ian Martinez also maintains a PPG average of 13.1 heading into game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Great Osobor (F) | 18.9 | 9.6 | 2.8 |
| Ian Martinez (G) | 13.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Mason Falslev (G) | 11.5 | 4.4 | 2.8 |
New Mexico Offense Breakdown
New Mexico finished with 88 points in their game against San Diego State. This total surpasses their season-average of 82.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Jaelen House with 26 points. Jamal Mashburn JR also added 19 points for the Lobos.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent (G) | 15.1 | 2.9 | 5.9 |
| JT Toppin (F) | 12.8 | 8.1 | 0.6 |
| Jaelen House (G) | 15.7 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
Utah State Team Defense
This season, the Utah State defense has been impressive, holding the 70th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.5 points per contest. So far, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 6.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.8 times per game (456th).
New Mexico Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the New Mexico defense is giving up an average of 68.4 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, New Mexico’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.0% this season.
Aggies vs Lobos Trends
- Across their last five road contests, Utah State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 83 points per game.
- Across the Lobos last three home games, the team averaged 71 points per game while allowing 77. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- As the betting underdog, the Aggies have an ATS mark of just 2-7-1 in their last ten games. Utah State posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Lobos have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Aggies vs Lobos Prediction
The Lobos is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Lobos at -5.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 156.5, and our model predicts the Aggies and Lobos to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 16, 2024 New Mexico Lobos, Teams, Utah State Aggies