Utah State Aggies vs San Jose State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Utah State Aggies vs San Jose State Prediction 3/6/2024

The Utah State Aggies (24-5) travel to face off against the San Jose State Spartans (9-21) on Wednesday, March 6th. This game will be played at Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose and televised on CBSS. Utah State is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Jose State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the UNLV. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs San Jose State Spartans

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State enters tonight’s game as the 10.5-point favorite, and they have been favored in 21 of their 29 games this season. The Aggies are 20-1 when favored, and they have gone 7-3 in their last ten games on the road.

So far this season, Utah State has been dominant at home, going 13-1 with an average scoring margin of +12.7 points per game. On the road, they have gone 8-3 with an average scoring margin of +3.9 points per game.

Utah State has an overall ATS record of 14-10-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-5-1, and they are 0-2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. As the favorite, the Aggies are 13-7-1 vs. the spread this year, including a mark of 1-2 in their last 3 games as the favorite.

Utah State’s over/under record for the season is 13-12, and the average over/under line in their games is 144.6. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 145.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

The San Jose State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Jose State is 5-9 at home this season, and they have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games on their home court. The Spartans are currently on a two-game losing streak.

Overall, San Jose State is 9-21, including a 2-15 record in Mountain West Conference play. For the year, they have gone 7-6 in non-conference games.

San Jose State has struggled against the spread this season, going just 10-18. Their ATS mark is even worse at home, where they are just 5-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Spartans have gone just 1-9 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for San Jose State games is 18-10. On average, their games have finished with 143.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (139.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points. For the year, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

Utah State Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 79.3 points per game, Utah State struggled in their previous game. Against Air Force, the Aggies scored 72 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 53.2%. Ian Martinez was the leading scorer for the Aggies, putting up 21 points. In addition, Josh Uduje contributed 11 points.

Great Osobor (F) 17.5 9.0 2.9
Ian Martinez (G) 13.2 3.7 1.8
Darius Brown II (G) 11.9 4.3 6.2

San Jose State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the San Jose State offense put up just 50 points vs. the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels. Overall, they are now averaging 69.9 points per game which is 335th in the country. Offensively, the Spartans have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 205th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 207th in percentage and 82nd in three-pointers made.

Myron Amey Jr. (G) 15.5 5.0 3.1
Alvaro Cardenas Torre (G) 12.9 3.1 5.3
Tibet Gorener (F) 11.6 4.0 0.8

Utah State Team Defense

At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 93rd in the country, permitting 69.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Utah State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 26.2% this season.

San Jose State Team Defense

The Spartans’ defense is presently ranked 239th nationally, allowing an average of 74.7 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Utah State, the San Jose State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, San Jose State made 18 free-throws vs. the Spartans.

Aggies vs Spartans Trends

  • Although Utah State has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-5-1. The team averaged 79 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Spartans have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 54 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Spartans have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Aggies struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-0.

Aggies vs Spartans Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +10.5, we have the Spartans as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145.5, and our model predicts the Aggies and Spartans to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.