Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels Prediction 1/13/2024

Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Prediction 1/13/2024

The Utah State Aggies (15-1) travel to face off against the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (8-6) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in all 13 of their games this season. They have gone 13-0 in those games, and they have also won 13 straight games overall. This includes a 83-59 win over Wyoming in their last game.

On the road this season, Utah State has gone 5-1, and they have won their last five games away from home. For the year, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 10.3 points per game on the road.

Utah State has been solid against the spread this season with a record of 9-5. Their ATS record as the favorite is 9-4 and they have gone 4-2 vs. the spread on the road this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Utah State games is 8-6. The average scoring total in their games this season is 147.4 points, and today’s over/under line is set at 146.5. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 145 points.

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

UNLV comes into this game as a 2.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-3 as an underdog this season. The Runnin’ Rebels are 5-4 at home this season, and they have won two straight games at home.

So far this season, UNLV has gone 8-6, including a 1-1 record in Mountain West Conference games. In their last game, they defeated New Mexico by a score of 83-73, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +3.8 points per game.

As the underdog this season, UNLV has gone 3-2 against the spread. At home, their ATS record is 5-4 this year. Over their last three games at home, the Runnin’ Rebels are 1-0 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, UNLV has gone 5-5 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for UNLV games is 7-4. Currently, the average scoring in their games is 143.9 points, which is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.8). Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average scoring in their games, but five of their games have finished with more points than that. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1.

Utah State Offense Breakdown

The Utah State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 83 points vs. Wyoming. Overall their field goal percentage was 52.5% while connecting on 6 threes. Coming into the game, the Aggies offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 18.9 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 15.6 made free-throws.

Great Osobor (F) 18.6 9.4 2.8
Mason Falslev (G) 11.8 4.6 2.9
Ian Martinez (G) 12.3 3.3 1.3

UNLV Offense Breakdown

UNLV finished with 83 points in their game against New Mexico. This total surpasses their season-average of 76.7 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Luis Rodriguez, who is averaging 12.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dedan Thomas Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 12.4 heading into game.

Luis Rodriguez (G) 12.6 6.5 1.6
Dedan Thomas Jr. (G) 12.4 3.2 6.2
Kalib Boone (F) 13.2 5.0 1.3

Utah State Team Defense

At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 51st in the country, permitting 65.3 points per game. So far, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 6.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.8 times per game (453rd).

UNLV Team Defense

The Runnin’ Rebels’ defense is presently ranked 105th nationally, allowing an average of 68.7 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Utah State, the UNLV defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, UNLV made 15 free-throws vs. the Runnin’ Rebels.

Aggies vs Runnin’ Rebels Trends

  • Across the Aggies last ten road games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 66. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Across their ten previous home games, UNLV has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Runnin’ Rebels have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Aggies have a straight up record of 10-0 and an ATS mark of 7-3.

Aggies vs Runnin’ Rebels Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2.5, we recommend going with the Runnin’ Rebels on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 146.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.