Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos NCAAB Betting Prediction

Utah State vs. Boise State Broncos Prediction 1/27/2024

The Utah State Aggies (17-2) travel to face off against the Boise State Broncos (14-5) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena in Boise and televised on MWN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State comes into this game as the underdog, with a record of 17-2 and a 15-game win streak. On the road, the Aggies have gone 6-1 this season, and their average scoring margin in these games is +9.0. Their last game was a win over Fresno State, with a final score of 83-62.

So far this season, Utah State has been the favorite in 15 of their 19 games, and they have gone 15-0 in these matchups. In Mountain West play, they are 5-0, compared to 12-2 in non-conference action.

Utah State has an ATS record of 10-6 this season, including a mark of 4-3 on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have gone just 2-7-1 vs. the spread.

Utah State’s over/under record for the season is 10-6 and the average over/under line in their games is 144. Today’s line of 144.5 is similar to the average line in their games. So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0 and the average scoring total is 167 points.

The Boise State Broncos Are Coming Off A Win

Boise State is 9-2 at home this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +11.7 points per game.

Overall, Boise State has gone 14-5 this season, and they have a two-game winning streak. They are 5-1 in Mountain West games compared to 9-4 in non-conference games.

Boise State has been inconsistent against the spread this season, going 9-9 overall. Their ATS record at home is 6-5, and they are 5-6 vs. the spread when favored this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Broncos are 5-5.

Boise State has an over/under record of 9-9 this season and the average scoring total in their games is 138.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (138). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 134 points.

Utah State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Utah State offense ended with 83 points against Fresno State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 55% and made 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Great Osobor, who is averaging 18.7 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ian Martinez also maintains a PPG average of 13.6 heading into game.

Great Osobor (F) 18.7 9.7 2.7
Ian Martinez (G) 13.6 3.4 1.7
Mason Falslev (G) 11.6 4.8 2.8

Boise State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Boise State offense tallied 72 points in a matchup against Fresno State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.3%, and they made 8 threes. In terms of offense, the Broncos have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 196th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 187th in percentage and 206th in three-pointers made.

Chibuzo Agbo (G) 14.7 5.1 0.7
Tyson Degenhart (F) 15.1 5.4 1.6
O’Mar Stanley (F) 12.8 6.3 1.5

Utah State Team Defense

At present, the Aggies’ defense is nationally ranked 81st, allowing 68.0 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.3 threes per game vs. Boise State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 25.0%.

Boise State Team Defense

Boise State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 34th nationally, with 65.2 points allowed per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Boise State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.8% this season.

Aggies vs Broncos Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Aggies offense has averaged 75 points per game while allowing an average of 72. Utah State posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 4-5 ATS.
  • Boise State has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 67 points per game while allowing 63. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Utah State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-7-1 while going 1-9 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Boise State has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Aggies vs Broncos Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Broncos, with a final score of 76-68, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Broncos at -3.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 144.5 and our model has the Aggies and Broncos finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.