Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction 12/28/2024

The Utah State Aggies (10-1) travel to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) on Saturday, December 28th. This game will be played at Viejas Arena in San Diego and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs

The Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State Aggies Recent Game/Games

Utah State improved to 10-1 on the season with a 75-68 road win over Saint Mary’s on Sunday. The Aggies entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

Utah State led 39-27 at halftime and added 36 points in the 2nd half while allowing 41. The total points for the game ended at 143, just under the 143.5 O/U line.

The Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State improved to 7-2 on the season with a 71-50 win over Cal on Saturday. The Aztecs were -5.5 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the victory.

After leading 25-16 at halftime, San Diego State put up 46 points in the 2nd half while allowing 34. The game’s total points of 121 fell well below the O/U line of 144.5.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

Utah State’s offense was clicking in their last game, shooting 58.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 64.7%. They were particularly strong inside, hitting 70.6% of their two-point attempts, while going 6/17 (35.3%) from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they connected on 9 of 11 attempts, good for 81.8%.

The Aggies dished out 23 assists, with Augustas Marciulionis leading the way with 8. Mitchell Saxen and Mason Falslev each scored 18 points, with Falslev shooting 72.7% from the field. Saxen added 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Ian Martinez also grabbed 6 boards and contributed 5 assists.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State’s offense put up 71 points in their last game, shooting just 37.3% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.8%, with 39% shooting on two-pointers and 34.6% from beyond the arc. They connected on 12 of 15 free throws, good for 80%.

The Aztecs grabbed 21 offensive rebounds, but managed only 6 assists. Nick Boyd led the way with 17 points, hitting 5 of 8 threes. Jeremiah Wilkinson struggled from deep, missing all 7 attempts, while Miles Byrd and BJ Davis each added 12 points.

Aggies Team Defense

Utah State’s defense gave up 68 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 44% from the field. They allowed 14 two-point field goals on 29 attempts, a 48% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Utah State’s defense allowed 10 threes on 25 attempts, a 40% shooting percentage. Their opponents also went 10/19 from the free-throw line, hitting 52% of their foul shots. Utah State gave up 9 offensive rebounds.

Aztecs Team Defense

Utah State’s defense gave up 68 points, allowing the opposing team to shoot 44% from the field, with 24 made baskets on 54 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 14 two-pointers on 29 attempts, a 48% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Utah State’s opponents hit 10 of 25 shots, shooting 40%. At the free-throw line, the opposing team struggled, making just 10 of 19 attempts for 52%. Utah State also gave up 9 offensive rebounds.

Aggies vs Aztecs Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Utah State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 3-0 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • San Diego State has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 70 points per game while allowing 63. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Aggies have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
  • The last ten games that San Diego State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 9-1 straight up.

Aggies vs Aztecs Prediction

The Aztecs is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 78-69. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Aztecs at -4.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 143.5, and our model predicts the Aggies and Aztecs to score a combined 147 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.