Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats NCAAB Betting Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Prediction 2/19/2025

The Vanderbilt Commodores (17-8) travel to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (17-8) on Wednesday, February 19th. This game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington and televised on SECN. Both Vanderbilt and Kentucky will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats

The Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Vanderbilt Commodores Recent Game

Vanderbilt fell to 17-8 on the season after an 81-76 loss to Tennessee on Saturday. Despite being +12.5 point underdogs, the Commodores kept it close and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 157, surpassing the O/U line of 141.5.

Vanderbilt led 44-31 at halftime but allowed 50 points in the 2nd half while scoring just 32. The Commodores will need to address their 2nd half defense moving forward.

The Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Kentucky Wildcats Recent Game/Games

Kentucky’s record dropped to 17-8 after an 82-78 road loss to Texas on Saturday. The Wildcats entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs and managed to cover the spread.

Kentucky led 41-37 at halftime but allowed 45 points in the 2nd half while scoring 37. The game’s total points of 160 went over the pre-game line of 158.5.

Commodores Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt’s offense put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 45.8% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc, hitting 12 of 27 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 55.9%, and they connected on 71.4% of their free throws, going 10 for 14 from the line.

Jason Edwards led the way with 24 points, hitting 6 of 10 from deep, while Zakai Zeigler added 22 points and 8 assists, shooting 3 of 4 from three. Chaz Lanier contributed 21 points and 8 rebounds, and Jaylen Carey was efficient, going 5 of 6 from the field and grabbing 7 boards.

Wildcats Offense Breakdown

Kentucky put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 41.9% from the field and 25% from three-point range, hitting 6 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 46.8%, and they connected on 71.4% of their free throws, going 20 for 28 from the line.

Tre Johnson led the way with 32 points, despite shooting just 1 of 8 from deep. Tramon Mark added 26 points, hitting 3 of 5 from beyond the arc. The Wildcats grabbed 18 offensive rebounds, with Amari Williams pulling down 12 boards and contributing 18 points.

Commodores Team Defense

Vanderbilt’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 81 points on 55% shooting from the field. The Commodores allowed their opponent to connect on 64% of their two-point attempts, going 20/31 inside the arc.

From three-point range, Vanderbilt’s opponent shot 42%, hitting 9 of 21 attempts. The Commodores also sent them to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 14 free throws, shooting 63%.

Wildcats Team Defense

Vanderbilt’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 81 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 55% from the field. They were particularly vulnerable inside, with the other team hitting 64% of their two-point attempts, going 20/31.

From beyond the arc, Vanderbilt allowed 9 threes on 21 attempts, a 42% shooting clip. The opposition also went to the line 22 times, converting 14 free throws for 63%. Vanderbilt did manage to limit second-chance opportunities, giving up just 4 offensive rebounds.

Commodores vs Wildcats Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Vanderbilt has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 74 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, Kentucky has averaged 80 points per game while allowing 84. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • The last ten games that Vanderbilt was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.

Commodores vs Wildcats Prediction

The Wildcats is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 78-70. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Wildcats at -5.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 161.5 and given that our model is projecting 148 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.