Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky NCAAB Betting Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Prediction 3/6/2024

The Vanderbilt Commodores (8-21) travel to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (21-8) on Wednesday, March 6th. This game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington and televised on SECN. Kentucky is coming off a win in their previous game, while Vanderbilt is looking to get back on track from a loss to the LSU. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats

The Vanderbilt Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As a 19.5-point underdog, Vanderbilt is 3-18 as an underdog this season. They are 8-21 overall and 3-13 in Southeastern Conference games. On the road, they are 1-9 this season and have lost their last nine games away from home.

In their last game, Vanderbilt lost to LSU, 75-61. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 1-9, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -13.8 points per game.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 9-11-1 against the spread this season and is 4-5-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores have an ATS mark of 4-6. In their last three road games, Vanderbilt is 2-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Vanderbilt’s games this season (142.4). So far, 26 of their 29 games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points.

The Kentucky Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

After a 111-102 win over Arkansas, Kentucky is now 21-8 on the season and 11-5 in Southeastern Conference play. The Wildcats have won three in a row and are 14-4 at home this season.

For the year, Kentucky has been favored in 23 of its 29 games and is 17-6 in those games. Over their last 10 games at home, the Wildcats are 8-2.

As the favorite, Kentucky has gone just 11-12 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are just 3-7 vs. the spread. At home, Kentucky is 10-8 vs. the spread this year and they are 6-4 over their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Kentucky’s games this season (158.3). So far, 17 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 201 points.

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the Vanderbilt offense finished with just 61 points vs. LSU. For the game, they hit 3/21 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 36.4%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ezra Manjon who comes into today’s matchup averaging 14.3. Tyrin Lawrence also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.7.

Ezra Manjon (G) 14.3 3.1 3.6
Tyrin Lawrence (G) 13.7 4.8 1.4
Ven-Allen Lubin (F) 11.3 5.9 0.5

Kentucky Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Kentucky’s offense looked good, scoring 111 points against Arkansas. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 56.7% and made 34/42 free throws. The top scorer for the Wildcats was Antonio Reeves with 22 points, while D.J. Wagner also added 19 to the scoreboard.

Antonio Reeves (G) 20.0 4.1 1.7
Rob Dillingham (G) 14.8 2.8 3.8
Reed Sheppard (G) 12.4 4.2 4.2

Vanderbilt Team Defense

At this time, the Commodores’ defense is positioned 240th in the country, permitting 74.7 points per game. Against LSU in their most recent game, the Vanderbilt defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing LSU to hit 36% of their shots.

Kentucky Team Defense

Looking at the Kentucky defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.1 points per game (318th). In today’s game vs. Vanderbilt, the Kentucky defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Kentucky made 34 free-throws vs. the Wildcats.

Commodores vs Wildcats Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Vanderbilt has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 67 points per game.
  • Across their last five home contests, Kentucky has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 85 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Vanderbilt has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Wildcats struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Commodores vs Wildcats Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Wildcats vs. Wildcats matchup, we’re leaning towards the Wildcats at -19.5. Although our projections show the Wildcats winning 75-70, we suggest placing your bet on the Commodores for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 160.5, and our model predicts the Commodores and Wildcats to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.