Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers NCAA Betting Prediction

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction 2/17/2024

The Vanderbilt Commodores (7-17) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (18-6) on Saturday, February 17th. This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Vanderbilt Commodores Are Coming Off A Win

Despite being the underdog for the 16th time this season, Vanderbilt has not won a road game all year, losing all seven of their games away from home by an average of 13.3 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Commodores are 2-8.

On the season, Vanderbilt has an overall record of 7-17, including a 2-9 mark in Southeastern Conference play. Last time out, they defeated Texas A&M, 74-73, and they have gone 2-14 when listed as the underdog.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 7-8-1 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is just 2-4-1. Over their last three road games, the Commodores are 0-2-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Vanderbilt is 4-5-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 8-16. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 140.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (141.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and their OU record during this stretch is 3-0.

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

After their 92-63 win over Arkansas, Tennessee is 18-6 overall and 8-3 in Southeastern Conference play. For the season, the Volunteers have gone 12-1 at home, and they have a scoring margin of +19.3 points per game in those contests.

As a team, Tennessee has been favored in 20 of their 24 games, and they have a record of 17-3 in those matchups. So far, the Volunteers have gone 10-3 in non-conference games compared to 8-3 in SEC action.

Overall, Tennessee has an ATS record of 11-12-1 this season. At home, they are 7-5-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Tennessee is 15-9, and today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (143.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Vanderbilt offense ended with 74 points against Texas A&M. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.3% and made 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Ezra Manjon, who holds an average of 14.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyrin Lawrence is averaging 13.7 points per game this season.

Ezra Manjon (G) 14.5 3.0 3.6
Tyrin Lawrence (G) 13.7 5.0 1.7
Evan Taylor (G) 8.8 3.9 0.2

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 92 points vs. Arkansas. This figure is more than their season average of 80 points per game. The top scorer for the Volunteers was Jonas Aidoo with 23 points, while Dalton Knecht also added 22 to the scoreboard.

Dalton Knecht (G) 20.4 4.8 1.8
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.8 7.5 1.0
Zakai Zeigler (G) 10.9 2.6 5.6

Vanderbilt Team Defense

In terms of defense, Vanderbilt is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.7 points per game. The Vanderbilt defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Texas A&M to connect on 7 threes.

Tennessee Team Defense

At present, the Volunteers’ defense is nationally ranked 72nd, allowing 67.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. Vanderbilt. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.6%.

Commodores vs Volunteers Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Commodores have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 56 points per game in this stretch.
  • Although Tennessee has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-7. The team averaged 78 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Commodores have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Volunteers have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Commodores vs Volunteers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Volunteers vs. Commodores matchup, our bet is to grab the Commodores at +20.5. Even though our projections have the Volunteers winning 75-70, we see the Commodores as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 142.5 and our model has the Commodores and Volunteers finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.