VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers NCAAB Betting Prediction

VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers Prediction 3/8/2024

The VCU Rams (19-11) travel to face off against the Dayton Flyers (23-6) on Friday, March 8th. This game will be played at UD Arena in Dayton and televised on ESPN2. Dayton is coming off a win in their previous game, while VCU is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Duquesne. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers

The VCU Rams Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

VCU enters this game with a 19-11 overall record, including an 11-6 mark in Atlantic 10 play. Over their last 10 games, the Rams are 5-5 on the road.

On the season, VCU is 5-4 on the road, and they have an average scoring margin of +0.7 points per game away from home.

As the underdog, VCU has an ATS record of 5-4 this season and an overall ATS record of 18-12. On the road, the Rams are 6-3 against the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, VCU’s ATS mark is 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in VCU’s games this season (140.3). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

The Dayton Flyers Are Coming Off A Win

Dayton is a perfect 16-0 at home this season, and they will look to extend their winning streak at home to 17 games. On the year, Dayton is 23-6, including a 13-4 record in Atlantic 10 play. They are coming off a 100-83 win against Saint Louis.

For the season, Dayton has been favored in 25 of their 29 games, going 21-4 in those matchups. They are favored by 8.5 points tonight, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +14.2.

As the favorite, Dayton has gone 13-12 against the spread this season. Their home ATS record is 8-8 and their last 10 ATS mark as the favorite is 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Dayton games is 17-11-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 137.2 and the average score is 140.4. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 159 points.

VCU Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the VCU offense put up just 59 points vs. the Duquesne Dukes. Overall, they are now averaging 71.9 points per game which is 271st in the country. In terms of offense, the Rams have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 253rd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 71st in percentage and 81st in three-pointers made.

Max Shulga (G) 15.0 4.9 3.6
Zeb Jackson (G) 11.0 4.3 3.5
Joe Bamisile (G) 13.9 3.6 0.5

Dayton Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Dayton offense ended with 100 points against Saint Louis. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 55.4% and made 18 threes. The Dayton offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.7 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 40% of their looks from outside this season.

DaRon Holmes II (F) 20.1 8.2 2.6
Nate Santos (F) 11.8 6.4 1.6
Koby Brea (G) 10.8 3.9 1.1

VCU Team Defense

The Rams’ defense is presently ranked 48th nationally, allowing an average of 66.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, VCU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.6% this season.

Dayton Team Defense

At this time, the Flyers’ defense is positioned 28th in the country, permitting 65.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Dayton’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.2% this season.

Rams vs Flyers Trends

  • In their last three road games, VCU has averaged 74 points per game while allowing 79. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • In their last five games at home, the Flyers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 76 points per game in these contests.
  • The last ten games that VCU was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Although the Flyers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Rams vs Flyers Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Flyers vs. Flyers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Flyers at -8.5. Although our projections show the Flyers winning 75-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Rams for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 138.5, and our model predicts the Rams and Flyers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.