Vermont Catamounts vs Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Betting Prediction

Vermont Catamounts vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction 3/22/2024

The Vermont Catamounts (26-6) travel to face off against the Duke Blue Devils (24-7) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn and televised on CBS. Vermont is coming off a win in their previous game, while Duke is looking to get back on track from a loss to the North Carolina State. Tip-off is set for 7:10 ET.

Vermont Catamounts vs Duke Blue Devils

The Vermont Catamounts Are Coming Off A Win

With a win against Massachusetts-Lowell in their last game, Vermont is now 26-6 on the season and has won nine straight games. They have been especially strong on the road, going 11-5 with an average scoring margin of +3.9.

Over the last 10 games, the Catamounts have gone 8-2 on the road. They have been the underdog in six games this season, going 3-3.

As the underdog this season, Vermont has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. On the road, the Catamounts are 8-8 ATS and 5-5 in their last 10 games. Overall, they are 14-17 ATS this year.

Today’s over/under line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in Vermont’s games this season (139.7). This year, the Catamounts’ over/under record is 8-22-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points.

The Duke Blue Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After falling to North Carolina State by a score of 74-69, Duke will look to get back on track at home against Vermont. The Blue Devils have lost two straight games, but they are still 16-4 at home this season.

Overall, Duke is 24-7, and they have gone 14-6 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. Over the course of the season, the Blue Devils have been favored in 29 of their 31 games, going 23-6 in those contests.

As the favorite, Duke has an ATS record of 17-12 this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 8-2 vs. the spread. At home, Duke is 12-8 ATS this year and 5-5 over their last 10 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in Duke’s games this season (146.7) and the over/under record in their games this year is 13-17-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 2-8.

Vermont Offense Breakdown

The Vermont offense is coming off a game where they scored 66 points against Massachusetts-Lowell. They posted a field goal percentage of 35.6% and connected on 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is TJ Long, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 12.2, while Aaron Deloney also maintains a PPG average of 10.9 leading up to the game.

Name PPG REB AST
TJ Long (G) 12.2 4.0 1.4
Aaron Deloney (G) 10.9 2.6 3.0
Shamir Bogues (G) 11.0 5.2 2.5

Duke Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 79.8 points per game, Duke struggled in their previous game. Against North Carolina State, the Blue Devils scored 69 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.1%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Blue Devils offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 22.1 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.

Name PPG REB AST
Kyle Filipowski (C) 17.1 8.2 2.8
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.0 2.5 3.0
Jared McCain (G) 13.4 4.9 1.8

Vermont Team Defense

Currently, the Catamounts’ defense holds the 11th rank in the nation, allowing 63.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. Massachusetts-Lowell, the River Hawks finished with a field goal percentage of 35% and a total of 61 points vs. Vermont.

Duke Team Defense

So far this season, the Duke defense has been performing well, ranking 58th in the country at 67.4 points allowed per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Vermont. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.0%.

Catamounts vs Blue Devils Trends

  • Although Vermont has a straight up record of 4-1 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 72 points per game in these games.
  • Although Duke has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-5. The team averaged 77 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Catamounts have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.

Catamounts vs Blue Devils Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Blue Devils vs. Blue Devils game, we suggest taking the Blue Devils at -11. Even though our predictions have the Blue Devils winning 74-70, we see the Catamounts as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 132, and our model predicts the Catamounts and Blue Devils to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.