Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles NCAAB Betting Prediction

Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Prediction 2/10/2024

The Virginia Cavaliers (18-5) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (13-9) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on CW. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:45 ET.

Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles

The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia enters this game as a 1-point favorite and will look to extend its win streak to eight games. So far this season, the Cavaliers have gone 18-5, including a perfect 15-0 mark at home. On the road, they are just 3-5 compared to their road record of 9-2.

Over the team’s last 10 road games, they have gone just 3-7, but they are coming off a win over Miami (FL) by a score of 60-38. For the season, they have been favored in 18 of their 23 games, going 16-2 in those contests.

Virginia’s ATS record this season is 13-9-1, and they are 11-6-1 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cavaliers are 6-3-1, and they are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games.

The over/under record for Virginia games this season is 10-13, and the average over/under line in their games is 126.9. So far, 19 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 124. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 115 points.

The Florida State Seminoles Are Coming Off A Win

Florida State will be looking to snap a two-game home losing streak when they take on Virginia. The Seminoles are 8-5 at home this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last ten games at home.

On the year, Florida State is 13-9 overall and 7-4 in Atlantic Coast Conference action. They have been the underdog in ten games, going 6-4 in those contests.

Florida State’s ATS record this season is 12-9-1, and they are 6-6-1 vs. the spread at home. The Seminoles’ ATS record as the underdog this year is 7-3, and they have gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

Florida State’s over/under record for the season is 12-9-1 and today’s line of 124 is lower than the average OU line in their games (151). So far, all 22 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s OU line of 124. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Virginia Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 65.1 points per game, the Virginia had a below average performance. They scored 60 points against Miami (FL) and had a field goal percentage of 48.1%. The top scorer for the Cavaliers was Reece Beekman with 16 points, while Jacob Groves also chipped in with 12 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Reece Beekman (G) 13.4 2.9 6.1
Isaac McKneely (G) 11.6 3.1 1.7
Ryan Dunn (G) 9.4 7.3 0.8

Florida State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Florida State offense concluded with only 63 points against Boston College. Throughout the game, they made 5/19 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 43.8%. Jamir Watkins was the leading scorer for the Seminoles, putting up 10 points. In addition, Taylor Bol Bowen contributed 9 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Jamir Watkins (F) 13.7 5.8 2.8
Darin Green Jr (G) 12.0 3.1 1.0
Baba Miller (F) 7.5 5.0 1.5

Virginia Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Virginia defense is giving up an average of 56.9 points per contest. So far, the Virginia defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8 times per game (348th).

Florida State Team Defense

The Seminoles’ defense is presently ranked 223rd nationally, allowing an average of 74.1 points per contest. Against Boston College in their most recent game, the Florida State defense gave up a total of 62 points while allowing Boston College to hit 40% of their shots.

Cavaliers vs Seminoles Trends

  • In their last three road games, Virginia has averaged 70 points per game while allowing 61. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Seminoles last ten home games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 77. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Seminoles have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Cavaliers vs Seminoles Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Seminoles on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 124, and our model projects the Cavaliers and Seminoles to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.