virginia vs memphis ncaab prediction

Virginia Cavaliers vs Memphis Tigers Prediction 12/19/2023

The Virginia Cavaliers (9-1) travel to face off against the Memphis Tigers (8-2) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Virginia Cavaliers vs Memphis Tigers

The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia comes into the game against Memphis with a record of 9-1. In their last ten road games, including last year, Virginia has a record of 5-5. As Virginia enters today’s game, their ATS record stands at 5-3. Over their last five games, the team has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Virginia have had an average of 120.9 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 127.1 points. Their over/under record is 3-5-0. The Cavaliers’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 126 points per game.

The Memphis Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Memphis comes into this game with a record of 8-2, having just defeated Texas A&M by a score of 81-75. On the road, the Tigers have gone 4-2, while at home they are 3-0. At the moment, Memphis has a winning ATS record, sitting at 5-4. In terms of their ATS performance, the Tigers are 4-2 on the road and 1-2 when playing at home.

Memphis comes in with an over/under record of 6-3-0 through 10 games, with their games averaging a combined 153.8 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Tigers’ over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 158 points per game.

Virginia Offense Breakdown

Virginia’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 84 points vs. Syracuse. Overall, they hit 54.5% of their shots from the field and went 12/15 from the free-throw line. Reece Beekman is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 12.5. Meanwhile, Isaac McKneely also brings a PPG average of 12.3 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Reece Beekman (G) 12.5 3.4 5.7
Isaac McKneely (G) 12.3 3.2 1.4
Ryan Dunn (G) 8.9 6.1 1.1

Memphis Offense Breakdown

Memphis’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 81 points against Texas A&M. They had an overall field goal percentage of 48.1% and made 22/29 free throws. The Memphis offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 33% of their looks from outside this season.

Name PPG REB AST
David Jones (F) 20.3 6.4 1.2
Jahvon Quinerly (G) 13.7 3.4 4.9
Jaykwon Walton (G) 9.2 4.0 1.8

Virginia Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Virginia defense is giving up an average of 53.3 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Syracuse, the Orange finished with a field goal percentage of 54% and a total of 62 points vs. Virginia.

Memphis Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Memphis defense is giving up an average of 73.6 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Virginia, the Memphis defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Memphis made 19 free-throws vs. the Tigers.

Cavaliers vs Tigers Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Cavaliers offense has averaged 56 points per game while allowing an average of 66. Virginia posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 0-5 ATS.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Tigers offense has averaged 75 points per game while allowing an average of 71. Memphis posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 8-2 ATS.
  • The last three games that Virginia was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Tigers have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Cavaliers vs Tigers Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Tigers, with a final score of 75-67, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Tigers at -2.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 130.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.