virginia vs memphis ncaab prediction

Virginia Cavaliers vs Memphis Tigers Prediction 12/19/2023

The Virginia Cavaliers (9-1) travel to face off against the Memphis Tigers (8-2) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Virginia Cavaliers vs Memphis Tigers

The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

So far this season, Virginia has a 9-1 record. In their 10 games, they have gone 0-1 on the road and 7-0 at home. Prior to today’s game, Virginia has a 5-3 ATS record. In their previous five games, the team is 3-2 vs. the spread.

Virginia comes in with an over/under record of 3-5-0 through 10 games, with their games averaging a combined 120.9 points per game so far. In the Cavaliers’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 118 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-3.

The Memphis Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Memphis enters their 11th game of the season with an 8-2 record. The Tigers have played six games on the road and have a 4-2 record, while they are undefeated at home with a 3-0 record. As of now, Memphis has a 5-4 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. In their previous five games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread.

Memphis’ games have, on average, featured 153.8 points per game leading to an over/under record of 6-3-0. Their average over/under line is currently 148.9 points so far. In their most recent three games, the Tigers’ over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 158 points per game.

Virginia Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Virginia offense ended with 84 points against Syracuse. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 54.5% and made 12 threes. Isaac McKneely was the leading scorer for the Cavaliers, putting up 22 points. In addition, Reece Beekman contributed 13 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Reece Beekman (G) 12.5 3.4 5.7
Isaac McKneely (G) 12.3 3.2 1.4
Ryan Dunn (G) 8.9 6.1 1.1

Memphis Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Memphis offense tallied 81 points in a matchup against Texas A&M. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.1%, and they made 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring was David Jones with 29 points. Jahvon Quinerly also added 24 points for the Tigers.

Name PPG REB AST
David Jones (F) 20.3 6.4 1.2
Jahvon Quinerly (G) 13.7 3.4 4.9
Jaykwon Walton (G) 9.2 4.0 1.8

Virginia Team Defense

So far this season, the Virginia defense has been performing well, ranking 2nd in the country at 53.3 points allowed per contest. In their most recent game, the Virginia defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Syracuse knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 62 points.

Memphis Team Defense

Currently, the Tigers’ defense holds the 193rd rank in the nation, allowing 73.6 points per game. In today’s game vs. Virginia, the Memphis defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Memphis made 19 free-throws vs. the Tigers.

Cavaliers vs Tigers Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Virginia has an ATS mark of 2-7-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 63 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Memphis has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 81 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Tigers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Memphis posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Cavaliers vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 75-67. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Tigers at -2.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 130.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.