The Washington Huskies (14-0) face off against the Michigan Wolverines (14-0) on Monday, January 8th. This game will be played at NRG Stadium in Houston and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.
Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines
The Washington Huskies Are Coming Off A Win
In their previous game, Washington faced off against Texas, picking up a six-point win on a score of 37-31. Michael Penix Jr. posted a passer rating of 130.37 after throwing for 430 yards against Texas. He made 38 passing attempts and achieved a completion rate of 76.3%.
Not only did Washington win straight-up, they also covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. The team’s 68 combined points surpassed the over/under line of 62.
The Washington Huskies come into this week’s game vs. Michigan with a perfect record of 14-0. So far, they have played five games on the road and nine at home.
So far, Washington has been favored 11 times and the underdog in three games. This has led to an ATS record of 7-6-1 and an average scoring differential of +13.5. This season, Washington has an over/under record of 7-7. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 61.8 points, with the typical over/under line being 62.3 points.
The Michigan Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win
Michigan is coming off a thrilling 27-20 win over Alabama. The two teams needed overtime to settle the game, as they were all tied at 20-20 at the end of regulation. In the win against Alabama, quarterback J.J. McCarthy achieved a QB rating of 125.69, completing 17 of 27 passes for 221 yards. Additionally, he contributed three touchdowns to the game.
Going into the game, Michigan was favored by 2 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 47 points surpassed the over/under line of 46.5.
Michigan carries a 14-0 record into this week’s game. This season, they’ve had six away games and seven home contests.
For the season, Michigan’s ATS record is > and they have been the favorite in every game so far. Michigan has an over/under record of 7-6 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 46.2 points with the average over/under line being 47.4 points.
Washington Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has put up an average of 37.6 points per game, placing them 7th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 350 passing yards on average, ranking 1st in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 85th position in rushing yards, with 375 rushing attempts per game this season.
With 4648 passing yards and a completion percentage of 66.5%, quarterback Michael Penix Jr. leads the team in passing. His average yards per pass attempt stands at 9.2.
Michigan Offense Breakdown
On the offensive side, Michigan has averaged 36 points per game this season. This figure has them 10th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 218.9 passing yards, is ranked 58th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 44th in rushing yards with an average of 515 rushing attempts per contest this season.
J.J. McCarthy is the team’s leading passer this season, racking up 2851 yards while averaging 12.4 per completion. His completion rate for the year stands at 73.2%, with 22 touchdowns.
Washington Team Defense
Washington’s defense is ranked 48th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 40.4 passing attempts against the Huskies. They have given up 24.1 points per game so far, placing them 102nd in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 62nd.
Michigan Team Defense
Defensively, the Wolverines enter the game with 38 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 10.2 points per game thus far this season (48th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 13th in the NCAA, giving up 150 passing yards per game. Against the run, Michigan has allowed 94.5 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Washington vs Michigan Trends
- Washington are 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games on the road.
- Michigan’s ATS record at home (last three) is 2-1.
- Looking back at the last ten times Michigan went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 5-5.
- The previous ten time that Washington was favored, they are 3-6-1 against the spread.
Michigan has had some turnover problems in their passing game this year. I’m going with Washington as the away underdogs to cover the spread at +4.5.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 56 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 55.5.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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