Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Prediction 3/15/2025

The Wisconsin Badgers (25-8) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (27-5) on Saturday, March 15th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans

The Badgers Are Coming Off A Win

Wisconsin Badgers Recent Game/Games

Wisconsin improved to 25-8 on the season with an 86-70 road win over UCLA on Friday. The Badgers entered the game as 2-point favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 156 exceeded the O/U line of 142.

Wisconsin dominated early, leading 48-29 at halftime. Though they allowed 41 points in the 2nd half, they still managed to score 38 points to secure the win.

The Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games

Michigan State improved to 27-5 on the season with a 74-64 home win over Oregon on Friday, March 14th. The Spartans entered the game as -6.5 favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 138 fell just under the O/U line of 141.

Michigan State led 42-32 at halftime and matched Oregon’s 32 points in the 2nd half to secure the win.

Badgers Offense Breakdown

Wisconsin’s offense was on fire in their last game, scoring 86 points with a 51.7% field goal percentage. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 69%, thanks to their 59.4% shooting from beyond the arc, hitting 19 of 32 threes. They struggled from the free-throw line, making just 53.8% of their attempts.

John Tonje was perfect from deep, going 6-for-6 from three and 9-for-10 overall, finishing with 26 points and 9 rebounds. The Badgers had 22 assists, with Tonje and John Blackwell each dishing out 4. Blackwell also contributed 18 points, hitting 4 threes at a 50% clip.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Michigan State put up 74 points, shooting 46.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 51.9%. They connected on 46.7% of their threes, going 7-for-15 from deep, while hitting 46.2% of their two-point attempts. At the free-throw line, the Spartans struggled, making just 58.6% of their 29 attempts.

Nate Bittle led the way with 22 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field. Jase Richardson added 17 points, hitting 3 of 7 from beyond the arc, while Jeremy Fears Jr. and TJ Bamba each contributed 11 points, with Bamba also dishing out 5 assists.

Badgers Team Defense

Despite giving up 20 offensive rebounds, Wisconsin held their opponent to 70 points on 32% shooting from the field. The Badgers were effective in defending inside the arc, where they allowed just 13 two-point baskets on 38 attempts (34%).

From three-point range, Wisconsin’s defense limited their opponent to 9 made threes on 30 attempts (30%). They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 17 of those attempts (65%).

Spartans Team Defense

Despite giving up 70 points, Wisconsin’s defense held their opponent to just 32% shooting from the field, with 22 made baskets on 68 attempts. Inside the arc, the Badgers limited their opponent to 34% shooting, as they hit 13 of 38 two-point shots.

From three-point range, Wisconsin allowed 9 made threes on 30 attempts, a 30% shooting performance. The Badgers also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 17 for 65%. Wisconsin gave up 20 offensive rebounds in the game.

Badgers vs Spartans Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 78 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Michigan State has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Badgers have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
  • Michigan State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Badgers vs Spartans Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Spartans to win, and have the projected score sitting at 77-69. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Spartans at -3.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 144.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.