Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting prediction

Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Prediction 1/16/2024

The Wisconsin Badgers (13-3) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (8-9) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park and televised on BTN. Wisconsin is coming off a win in their previous game, while Penn State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Purdue. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The Wisconsin Badgers Are Coming Off A Win

Wisconsin enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 10 of their 16 games this season, going 9-1 in those games. They have been significantly better at home this season, going 11-1 compared to 2-2 on the road.

Over their last 10 road games, the Badgers are 5-5, and over their last five, they are 2-3. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -3.5 points per game.

Wisconsin has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 10-6 overall. They are also 6-4 vs. the spread when favored this year. Their ATS record on the road is 2-2 and their last 3 road ATS mark is 2-1.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Wisconsin’s games this season (136.9). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 141 points.

The Penn State Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 95-78 loss to Purdue, Penn State is 8-9 overall and 2-4 in Big Ten play. They have lost two straight games and are 0-6 on the road this season.

As the underdog, the Nittany Lions are 2-6 this season. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.3 points per game compared to -14.7 on the road.

As the underdog, Penn State has gone 4-4 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS record is 5-6 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 5-4-1 vs. the spread. Their ATS mark vs. the spread this season is 7-10.

So far this season, the over/under record for Penn State games is 10-6-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 149.8 points, which is higher than the average over/under line of 144.3. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 157 points.

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Badgers’ offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.2 points per contest. AJ Storr is leading the team in scoring at 14.8 points per contest. Tyler Wahl has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.8 going into the game.

AJ Storr (G) 14.8 3.1 0.9
Tyler Wahl (F) 11.8 5.7 1.5
Steven Crowl (F) 11.7 7.6 2.2

Penn State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Penn State offense tallied 78 points in a matchup against Purdue. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.6%, and they made 9 threes. Leading Penn State in scoring vs. Purdue was Nick Kern with his 18 points. Kanye Clary also added 16 points for the Nittany Lions.

Kanye Clary (G) 18.6 3.2 2.7
Adrian Baldwin Jr (G) 12.8 1.9 4.9
Qudus Wahab (F) 9.5 8.3 0.6

Wisconsin Team Defense

The Badgers’ defense is presently ranked 46th nationally, allowing an average of 65.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Penn State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.6%.

Penn State Team Defense

Penn State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.5 points per game. Penn State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Purdue offense to knock down 58% of their shots on their way to putting up 95 points.

Badgers vs Nittany Lions Trends

  • Across the Badgers last ten road games, the team averaged 68 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Although Penn State has a straight up record of 0-5 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Nittany Lions have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 5-4-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Badgers have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Badgers vs Nittany Lions Prediction

The Nittany Lions come in as the underdog at +7, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 146.5, and our model predicts the Badgers and Nittany Lions to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.