Yale Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Yale Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction 3/24/2024

The Yale Bulldogs (23-9) travel to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (25-10) on Sunday, March 24th. This game will be played at Spokane Arena in Spokane and televised on TBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:40 ET.

Yale Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs

The Yale Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Yale comes into this game as the underdog, as they have been in eight games this season, going 3-5 in those matchups. On the road, the Bulldogs are 11-7 this season, and they have won their last two games away from home.

Over the last 10 road games, Yale has gone 8-2, and they are 3-2 in their last five games on the road. Overall, they are 23-9 this season, and they have won their last three games, including a 78-76 win over Auburn.

As the underdog, Yale has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 5-2-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 6-3-1. On the road, Yale is 10-6-2 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 7-1-2 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Yale’s over/under record this season is 17-13, and today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State has been dominant at home this season, going 15-2, and they have been favored in 27 of their 35 games. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.3, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, the Aztecs are 25-10, and they have won three straight games on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is +3.8, and they are 9-8 away from home.

San Diego State’s ATS record this season is 14-20, including a mark of 8-9 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

San Diego State’s over/under record this season is 18-16 and today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

Yale Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Bulldogs’ offense concluded with 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.2 points per contest. Danny Wolf is leading the team in scoring at 14.3 points per contest. John Poulakidas has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.1 going into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Danny Wolf (F) 14.3 9.8 2.3
John Poulakidas (G) 13.1 2.4 1.9
Bez Mbeng (G) 11.4 4.1 4.2

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, San Diego State offense put up 69 points against UAB. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.6% and made 5 threes. Jaedon LeDee was the leading scorer for the Aztecs, putting up 32 points. In addition, Lamont Butler contributed 15 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Jaedon LeDee (F) 21.1 8.4 1.4
Reese Waters (G) 10.1 3.7 1.2
Micah Parrish (G) 9.6 4.1 1.8

Yale Team Defense

The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 51st nationally, allowing an average of 66.9 points per contest. So far, the Yale defense is giving up an average of 7.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.9 times per game (363rd).

San Diego State Team Defense

The Aztecs’ defense is presently ranked 43rd nationally, allowing an average of 66.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Yale. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.9%.

Bulldogs vs Aztecs Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Yale has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 72 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Although San Diego State has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 70 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-1-1.
  • Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Aztecs have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Bulldogs vs Aztecs Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Aztecs vs. Bulldogs matchup, our bet is to grab the Bulldogs at +5.5. Even though our projections have the Aztecs winning 74-71, we see the Bulldogs as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 128.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.